Informed Comment

Thoughts on the Middle East, History, and Religion

Juan Cole is President of the Global Americana Institute

Saturday, May 31, 2008

Thousands of Sadrists Protest Security Pact With US;
Sistani Aide Demands Parliament Vote

Thousands of followers of Shiite leader Sayyid Muqtada al-Sadr peacefully protested across southern Iraq on Friday, according to McClatchy. They prayed and then stood silently in solidarity against the security agreement being negotiated by PM Nuri al-Maliki with George W. Bush.


Sadrists Demonstrate in Kufa. Courtesy Amara.net, a Sadrist site.

(On both the Iraqi and American side, this agreement is being characterized as a mere understanding between two executives. It is not being categorized as a treaty and there is no plan to submit it either to the Iraqi parliament or to the US Congress. It seems that the Bush team hopes it will take on the force of law just by virtue of existing and having been signed by the two leaders.)

Aljazeera had a debate between Hasan Salman, who supports al-Maliki, and Nizar al-Samarra'i, a Sunni dissident, this afternoon. Salman said that the agreement might be stipulated to be only for one year, so as not to detract from Iraqi sovereignty. He also said he welcomed the Sadrist demonstrations because they strengthened al-Maliki's negotiating position.

Except that I don't think the demonstrations are intended to help al-Maliki, but rather to delegitimize and bury him.

Even Jalal al-Din Saghir, a member of parliament from the Islamic Supreme Council of Iraq, which is allied with al-Maliki, preached a sermon at the Buratha Mosque in north Baghdad, saying, according to McClatchy:


'"The Iraqi people should see every single letter in (the agreement) and it should be transparent. What the people accept we do and what they reject we do," said ISCI lawmaker Jalal al Din al Saghir in his Friday sermon. "Most of what the Americans offered was against Iraq's sovereignty. If this treaty is done it won't be on Iraq's sovereignty, constitution and its land." '




Al-Hayat reports in Arabic that there is broad Sunni and Shiite uneasiness with the agreement, even inside Iraqi governing circles.

Al-Hayat says that those familiar with the current draft of the agreement says that it speaks of the establishment of 400 US military sites and bases through the country, of legal immunity for American troops and citizens, and an abrogation of any undertakings previously made, to share in the reconstruction of the country.

Another source told al-Hayat that US Ambassador Ryan Crocker is pressing for language permitting permanent US bases, and removal of other language forbidding the US to attack a third country from Iraqi soil. (This source does not sound reliable to me. US officials have repeatedly said they do not want "permanent" bases, and the provision disallowing the use of Iraqi soil as a launching pad for one country to attack another is in the Iraqi constitution.)

The Iranian Speaker of the House, Ali Larijani, called on Iraqis to resist the security agreement with the US with the same courage that they oppose the Occupation itself.

Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani is also said to oppose provisions of the agreement.

The source told al-Hayat that there tensions pervade the US-Iraqi relationship because of disputes over the text of the agreement.

Abdul Aziz al-Hakim, leader of the Islamic Supreme Council in Iraq, the largest bloc in parliament and cornerstone of the al-Maliki government, issued a statement through his office. He spoke of the existence of:

' a national consensus on rejecting many of the points put forward by the American side in the agreement, because they detract from national sovereignty." He said that such a consensus existed in the National Security Council, which is composed of the leaders of the major political blocs in the parliament.'


Unlike the Sadrists, who reject the agreement altogether, al-Hayat says that ISCI simply has problems with some specific provisions. For instance, it objects to US troops being able to arrest Iraqis at will and hold them, and to be able to use deadly force at will without coordinating with the Iraqi government. It also objects to extraterritoriality (immunity from prosecution in Iraqi courts) for American troops, civilians and private security guards.

Vice President Tariq al-Hashimi, a Sunni Arab and leader of the fundamentalist Iraqi Islamic Party, agreed with al-Hakim's stance. He said in a statement issued on Friday that Iraq's sovereignty is a "red line".

Al-Hayat's sources also say that US Ambassador Ryan Crocker privately told the Iraqi government that the US rejects the holding of a national referendum on the provisions of the agreement. He is alleged to have brandished the threat that if the agreement was not reached, Iraq would remain under Chapter 7 of the UN Charter, i.e. in a sort of receivership to the UN Security Council.

If this allegation is true, it puts Crocker on a collision course with Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani, since, Al-Hayat maintains, Sistani is absolutely insistent that the provisions of the agreement be submitted to a popular referendum.

In Karbala, Sistani's representative, Sheikh Ahmad Safi, said in his Friday sermon that the agreement must not be allowed to shackle future generations of Iraqis, and must not detract from Iraqi sovereignty. He insisted that the agreement would be null and void if it was not voted on by the elected Iraqi parliament.

(I don't think it will be voted on by parliament.)

On another front, al-Hayat says, former prime minister and former Da'wa Party leader Ibrahim Jaafari has founded and new nationalist political current that will seek to reach out across ethnic and sectarian divides to unite Iraqi nationalists across the board.

Meanwhile, the CSM reports on rogue Mahdi Army splinter groups in Risala, in Baghdad, and the way they terrorize residents.

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13 Comments:

At 6:09 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

What is the American Congress doing about the SOFA? Closing its eyes tight shut and waiting, once again, for its rape to be accomplished.

What is Clinton/McCain/Obama position on the SOFA? Sotto voce, the same as the Neocon/Bush position.

When is the war going to end? When American troops turn their weapons around, and refuse to fight the Iraqis any longer.

For clearly the political class will not end it. They will dither until the dollar collapses and the last American has died for their mistake.

For clearly we the people will not end it. We will vote for the R&D duopoly until we wake up in the gutter.

 
At 7:16 AM, Blogger profmarcus said...

so, if ambassador crocker is pressing for u.s. bases, listen to senior iraq advisor at the u.s. state department, david satterfield, categorically deny it in this al jazeera interview...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8llAggaBePA

http://takeitpersonally.blogspot.com/

 
At 7:17 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

You mention the Bush Administration hopes this arrangement will 'take on the force of law'.


Odd. The Bush Administration does not recognize the rule of law. It has no such word or idea in its vocabulary.

Of course, if McCain wins, then one could imagine the Bush Administration hoping this arrangement would 'take on the imprimatur of force --- of the rule of man, the rule of power, the rule of force'.

But 'law'?

Not possible.

 
At 8:33 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

The issue of the SOFA is warming up. I would think it has a way to go yet.

An agreement signed by the two leaders only will naturally lack legitimacy. Only a short-term solution. It would have to be renegotiated shortly.

Again, sounds like the troubles the British had with reaching a permanent treaty with Iraq.

I hope Sistani succeeds.

 
At 8:58 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

"(This source does not sound reliable to me. US officials have repeatedly said they do not want "permanent" bases, and the provision disallowing the use of Iraqi soil as a launching pad for one country to attack another is in the Iraqi constitution.)"

Juan, what the !@#$? Surely this is not your thought? I know you wouldn't suggest that this administration-- that raised secrecy and deception to a form of government, that introduced the post-democracy era to the US-- you wouldn't suggest they would actually disclose their actual intentions. Would you?

 
At 10:36 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Another source told al-Hayat that US Ambassador Ryan Crocker is pressing for language permitting permanent US bases, and removal of other language forbidding the US to attack a third country from Iraqi soil. (This source does not sound reliable to me. US officials have repeatedly said they do not want "permanent" bases, and the provision disallowing the use of Iraqi soil as a launching pad for one country to attack another is in the Iraqi constitution.)

Well, maybe. But with a little imagination one can find reason to suppose that Party Proconsul Crocker called up al-Hayát himself to get that item inserted.

After March 2003, it really should not be necessary for militant extremist Republicans to explain their attitude towards treaties and promises. Still, there exists a cultural gap: east of Suez, Machiavelli may not be as widely read as in the Homeland. As a nominal ambassador, R. Crocker cannot give poor M. al-Málikí a formal lecture about Quomodo fides a principibus sit servanda or expound the true relationship of a Hyperpower to its clients by citing Thucydides on the Athenians versus the Melians. He certainly can not be expected to announce in so many words that the GOP geniuses will do as they unilaterally and preëmptively see fit, no matter what the proposd SOFA document, or any other document, may contain or omit.

How shall R. Crocker make quite sure that the collaborationist native politicians understand the correlation of forces between themselves and the Republican Party unmistakably, when he cannot decently discuss the topic with them himself? Some sort of indirect notification would seem to be called for. Why not by way of al-Hayát?

When this sort of indirection happens the other way around, it seems to be tacitly agreed that the little foreign friends of AEI and GOP and DOD are to present their stuff in the Washington Post. Ideally, all the perps from both sides would agree on one particular Arabic-language newspaper as well. (Maybe they already have agreed? God knows best.)

Obviously this morning’s signal, if it is a signal, does not belong in an Anglophone medium. The Status of Forces Agreement has already drawn too much attention in those quarters.

Down at the ranch, the cowpokers must be unhappy that the whole intellectually respectable press has suddenly decided to jump on their SOFA problem today. McClatchy and NYTC and WP all give the same story; the Los Angeles Times has a slightly better one . The only silver lining from the AEI-GOP-DOD perspective is that maybe Saturday’s newspapers are not actually read much.

Happy days.

 
At 10:41 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Another source told al-Hayat that US Ambassador Ryan Crocker is pressing for language permitting permanent US bases, and removal of other language forbidding the US to attack a third country from Iraqi soil. (This source does not sound reliable to me. US officials have repeatedly said they do not want "permanent" bases, and the provision disallowing the use of Iraqi soil as a launching pad for one country to attack another is in the Iraqi constitution.)

Do you think that the Iraqi Constitution would prevent the occupying amerikans from attacking Iran from Iraqi bases ??

the usa Constitution could not prevent the usa from attacking Iraq !!

the cheney / bush junta has no respect for anything other than force and what comes out the end of the gun barrel.

that source sounds very reliable to me. the usa wants permanent bases, Iraqi Oil and Iranian Oil.

 
At 10:42 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

The US can use its veto power to keep Iraq under Chapter 7 of the UN Charter. But that is a Good Thing for the Iraqi people since it restricts the corrupt Iraqi regime in how it accounts for and spends Iraq's income, among other useful restrictions under the circumstances.

A US veto against Iraq will be very useful anyway asit ends the 'special relationship' with Iraq.

 
At 11:25 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Loyalists of radical Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr called on the Iraqi government Saturday to hold a public referendum on a long-term security deal with the United States.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080531/ap_on_re_mi_ea/iraq;_ylt=Aq.8AwAj6rUXdysXLoVuwmhvaA8F

Although us officials insist they are not seeking permanent bases, suspicion runs deep among many Iraqis that the americans want to keep at least some troops in the country for many years.

 
At 12:22 PM, Blogger sherm said...

Maybe the movement against the SOFA is the only way out of Iraq, i.e. get thrown out. If the US can't get its banana republic via Iraqi politics, it will try to use the SOFA as an alternative.

At least the Iraqis know the meaning of sovereignty and what it is supposed to look like. CHENEYbush has no use for the word or the concept.

 
At 1:52 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I would sure like Barack Obama and John McCain (and Hillary Clinton if she's still viable) to read these comments by Professor Cole.

I want some direct questions on these ongoing processes in Iraq, and direct and specific answers from the candidates. It is too general and unspecific for candidates to merely say STAY UNTIL THERE'S VICTORY...or THE U.S. WILL OUT IN 16 MONTHS.

These are VERY important matters for the future of Iraqis, but it sounds like the Bush (Zionist influenced or controlled) CABAL wants to continue its dominant and imperial OCCUPATION!

Presidential candidates must talk about what Professor Cole speaks of here.

In fact, if there is TRUE FREEDOM in the good, old U.S.A., Professor Cole would be one of the moderators/questioners in future debates.

(Become a PRESS REPORTER, Professor Cole, and help liberate us from the collective darkness and silence on Iraq, etc.!)

Iraq, America, and the world need to hear directly from the candidates on what Professor Cole has dilineated...in the closing hours of the Bush dictatorship, before he pulls the curtains (BECAUSE he has already pulled the rugs from under us! At least this what one UTOPIAN FOOL wants to happen.

Finally, will we Americans and the world ever REALLY know what "is going on" on these issues, the loopholes and obfuscation thereof, etc.?

IT'S THE OIL STUPID!

 
At 2:20 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Thousands of followers of Shiite leader Sayyid Muqtada al-Sadr peacefully protested across southern Iraq on Friday, according to McClatchy. They prayed and then stood silently in solidarity against the security agreement being negotiated by PM Nuri al-Maliki with George W. Bush.

These seem unlike the firebreathing Sadrists of yore.

Is Sadr trying to reposition himself as another Ghandi?

 
At 6:25 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

[Ambassador Crocker] is alleged to have brandished the threat that if the agreement was not reached, Iraq would remain under Chapter 7 of the UN Charter, i.e. in a sort of receivership to the UN Security Council.

Against the will of the Iraqi people, of course. Too bad the UN Security Council doesn't give a damn about that, and no U.S. reporters or Members of Congress can be bothered to challenge such obscene injustice by the Security Council on behalf of an illegal, might-makes-right occupation.

I haven't seen reporting about which faction(s) in Iraq, or perhaps the U.N., if any, have been the cause of this year's planned expiration of the U.N. mandate "legalizing" our presence in Iraq, which has already continued this long against the will of the people of Iraq despite the opposed but effectively powerless-under-occupation parliament, at U.S. insistence. Why is another U.N. "mandate" renewal not the taken-as-given Plan B this year?

Also, why is the Congressional Republican "fighting the terrorists in Iraq to protect Iraqis and to save America" lie for our presence in Iraq still tenable at all, given that there seems to be a "government" over there with which we can negotiate long-term security agreements as though both nations are at peace? Who's going to rebut Senator Sessions about this on the Senate floor, the next time he gets up to spin his hateful propaganda in support of his racist, authoritarian world view?

One Member of Congress, at least, is continuing to hold the hearings the rest of Congress has carefully suppressed (see especially Carl Levin's AWOL Armed Services Committee and Joe Biden's Foreign Relations Committee). Coming up this Wednesday, June 4th, two members of the elected Iraqi parliament (the Council of Representatives) are actually scheduled to testify - imagine that, real Iraqis speaking for themselves - to Rep. Bill Delahunt's subcommittee of the House Foreign Affairs Committee:

Date: Wednesday, June 04, 2008

Time: 2:00 PM

Subject: The Future of U.S.-Iraqi Relations: The Perspective of the Iraqi Parliament

Briefers:

The Honorable Nadeem Al-Jaberi
The Council of Representatives of Iraq

The Honorable Khalaf Al-Ulayyan
The Council of Representatives of Iraq


http://foreignaffairs.house.gov/hearing_notice.asp?id=996

With reference to the effectively bypassed Iraqi parliament, please note that the U.S. Congress continues to voluntarily do its damnedest to serve the presidency, rather than the nation or its Constitution, as a new and hardhitting article about the (Congressional) holders of national power on behalf of the Democratic Political Party makes clear:

The Senate's mystifying refusal to stand and fight — even against the most unpopular lame-duck president of all time — has begun to spill over into the House. Nancy Pelosi may have become speaker of the House by promising an end to "blank checks" for Bush's war in Iraq, but she now says she has given up on her colleagues in the Senate. Although funding for the war is once again up for reauthorization, Pelosi is done asking her party to peg funding to a timeline for withdrawal.

"It's not going anyplace," she says sternly. "We know that. Every time we passed one of these bills with the conditions and the deadlines, the Senate did nothing. So I said to my members after the last time, 'I'm never going to ask you to vote for one of these bills again' — no matter how good it is."

Pelosi's surrender in the face of Reid's inaction means that President Bush will soon have another $170 billion to steer this war as he sees fit — perhaps even crashing it headlong into Iran — his course unchanged by a Democratic Congress that has meekly abdicated its constitutional responsibility to serve as a check on the executive branch. The simple truth is, the Senate's agenda is largely dictated by the Republican minority. Rather than force the GOP to go on record as opposing popular measures — such as revoking gratuitous tax breaks for Big Oil — the Democrats have backed down again and again without a fight.

Both Pelosi and Reid insist that the only hope for their rudderless majority is to bring more Democrats into the Senate. But the party isn't going to get a filibuster-proof majority in November, even if it is lucky enough to repeat its big gains from 2006. "Democrats are not going to get 60 votes," says Larry Sabato, a political scientist at the University of Virginia. "They're going to go up three, four, five, maybe six in the Senate — but they're not going to get 60 votes."


http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/story/20961789/the_senate_caves/print

Please be sure to read the whole, outstanding article by Tim Dickinson, a reporter who cares about more than natural resources, our ability to project power with belligerence, or profits. He's concerned about liberty and justice. And he masterfully exposes Reid and Pelosi to the harsh light of day from which they've been hiding for so long.

Without 60 Democratic (if that label means anything anymore) votes in the Senate, the Republican Party minority can continue to run the show in Congress, on behalf of their corporate masters, as they are successfully doing this year with Harry Reid "in charge." The only cure for this disease is an independent, defiant House of Representatives that uses its generous (and growing) majority to the fullest possible extent. With ruthless, heartless calculation, however, Nancy Pelosi - whose primary election is Tuesday, June 3rd against Shirley Golub and whom Cindy Sheehan faces this fall if San Francisco endorses Pelosi's performance on Tuesday - has no intention of taking a stand on behalf of those least able to help themselves, despite the powerful position she has gained in our legislature.

We will all be paying the steep, and growing, price, along with the Iraqi people, for the reckless, heedless betrayal of duty by Harry Reid and Nancy Pelosi, and the two-party system's parallel subversion of Congress, for years to come.

 

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