Informed Comment

Thoughts on the Middle East, History, and Religion

Juan Cole is President of the Global Americana Institute

Friday, February 22, 2008

Turkish-Kurd Military Confrontation;
Gunbattles Roil Basra;
A Dozen Police Found Dead Near Baquba

While US troops keep a tenuous grip on Baghdad in the center, Iraq's two extremities-- Kurdistan in the north and Basra in the deep south-- are coming apart at the seams. Neither area has many US troops to fall back on.

In a tense confrontation, Iraqi Kurdish troops nearly surrounded Turkish troops who had made an incursion into northern Iraq on Thursday. McClatchy reveals:


' Iraqi Kurdish troops on Thursday encircled Turkish soldiers in northern Iraq and threatened to open fire in the most serious standoff between the two nation's forces since Turkey threatened late last year to go after guerrillas from the Kurdistan Workers Party sheltering in Iraq. The standoff began when Turkish troops in tanks and armored vehicles left one of five bases they've had in Iraq since 1997 and moved to control two main roads in Dohuk province, Iraqi officials said. '


Ultimately, the Turkish troops beat a retreat back to their base. But this is the stuff of which hot wars are made, folks. Baghdad politicians said they wanted to do something to forestall such an eventuality. What they would have to do is to send Arab troops north to guard the border with Turkey with orders to shoot on sight PKK guerrillas trying to infiltrate into Turkey. The Kurdish peshmerga are too sympathetic to the PKK to do it. But Turkey has a right to expect Iraq to prevent it from being attacked from Iraqi soil.

Four British troops were wounded, one seriously, by two roadside bombs that detonated as they passed through the outskirts of Basra to some other destination. Basra, always fragile, slid into turmoil on Thursday.

Heavy fighting broke out Wednesday evening into Thursday morning in Basra between offshoots of Muqtada al-Sadr's Mahdi Army and the Iraqi army. Al-Hayat reports in Arabic that the fighting took place all over the city. It was provoked by the arrest of Mahdi Army cadres in the Safwan border area (70 mi. south of Basra). Gunfire was heard in Basra in the Hayaniya, Qiblah, Tusiya and Jumhuriya districts. Basra police are planning to implement a new security plan to forestall such clashes and to end the almost-daily rocket attacks on Basra airport by militiamen.

The Iraqi army is being ordered to man checkpoints at key intersections in Basra, to reassure the investment companies that are expected to troop into the southern port city soon, to kickstart a wave of construction and development that was announced at a recent convention of the Basra Development Board.

The head of the Sadr Office in Basra, Harith al-`Adhari, denied that his organization hand anything to do with the attackers, describing them as rogue independents.

In Diwaniya to the north, Sadrist leader Abu Zainab al-Kar`awi told al-Hayat by telephone that gunmen driving police cars had set fire on Thursday to 4 houses belonging to Sadrists. He accused the popular committees affiliated with the Islamic Supreme Council in Iraq of Abdul Aziz al-Hakim of responsibility for the arson, saying that ISCI wanted to exclude the Sadrists from the political process. He said several Sadrists had moved away from Diwaniya to Baghdad for fear of arbitrary arrest.

AFP argues that Sadr has benefited from his freeze on Mahdi Army activities for the past 6 months.

The LAT discusses how Iraq's hundreds of thousands of war widows struggle for survival. You kind of wish that the television news would notice this kind of story . . .

McClatchy reports political violence in Iraq for Thursday:

'. . . Diyala

15 bodies were found in an area 15 km to the north of Baquba at 05:30 pm; ten were Iraqi Army, said Baghdad and Diyala Police. They were hand cuffed, blindfolded and shot to death. They were laid side by side, 6 inches apart and a thin cover of dirt was thrown over them. They have been dead for ten days.

An Iraqi police patrol found six male bodies and three female bodies buried in al-Ouhaimar Field in the Baqubah area . . .

Baghdad

Three civilians were wounded when a roadside bomb went off at 10 a.m. in the intersection near al-Shaab Stadium, Zayuna, east Baghdad.

Around noon Thursday, a mortar shell fell in Besateen neighbourhood, Shaab, north Baghdad injuring two civilians.

Around 2 p.m. Thursday afternoon, gunmen opened fire upon a car belonging to the Crimes Department killing First Lieutenant Ahmed Mohammed and injuring Lieutenant Colonel Hazim and one policeman near the Institute of Law in Waziriyah, north Baghdad.

At 2 p.m. Thursday, gunmen opened fire upon a pickup truck in al-Buhaira Square at the entrance of Sadr City, killing its driver, an employee at the Ministry of Transport.

Five bodies were found in Baghdad by Iraqi Police today. 1 in Palestine St, 2 in Waziriyah, 1 in Tobchi and 1 in Amil.

Anbar

Commander of Fallujah Brigade, the Seventh Division, Brigadier General Ahmed al-Juburi was killed when a roadside bomb targeted his motorcade. His driver was also killed and one security personnel seriously injured.

One civilian killed and another injured in car bomb explosion at an open air market, 37 km to the south of Fallujah.

Mosul

Five policemen were injured in a roadside bomb explosion that targeted a police patrol in Faisaliyah neighbourhood, central Mosul.'

Labels:

10 Comments:

At 6:38 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

As the Turkish army darts over and back into Kurdistan (let's call it what it is..) may we not imagine that they foresaw the day when the presence of an intervening U.S. Infantry Division would be monumentally inconvenient, hence their refusal to allow us to stage the fourth infantry division in eastern Turkey for the invasion of Iraq in 2003? Kuwait, is, after all, to this day, jammed with coming and going brigades, equipment, etc.,

 
At 7:18 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Turkish troops cross into Iraq: army

ANKARA (AFP) - Turkish troops entered northern Iraq Thursday night to hunt separatist Kurdish rebels based across the border, the Turkish army said in a statement Friday.

The NTV television news channel said 10,000 troops were involved in the operation.

The army did not give figures but said the incursion followed air and artillery strikes on Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) camps across the border between 10:00 am and 6:00 pm (0800 GMT and 1600 GMT) Thursday.

Turkish warplanes, assisted by US intelligence, have conducted several air strikes on PKK targets in northern Iraq since December 16 in addition to a minor cross-border land operation to stop a group of militants from infiltrating Turkey.


Turkish ground troops enter Iraq

Byrza [Matthew Bryza, deputy assistant secretary of state] said Washington had been co-operating with Turkey in providing intelligence on PKK positions since last November to enable the Turkish air force to make pinpointed attacks - minimising civilian casualties.

Al Jazeera's correspondent Yousef al-Sharif, said that Ankara had informed Baghdad and Washington of the incursion.

The US confirmed it was aware of the offensive, while the Iraqi government said it was not aware.

Hoshiyar Zebari, Iraq's foreign minister, said on: "Until this minute, we have not received anything from the border guards about Turkish forces crossing the international border."

Al Jazeera reported that four bridges had been hit in Thursday's air raid.


The door to Iraq's oil opens

The plan is to transport Iraqi natural gas from a gas field in southern Iraq to the EU through the Arab Gas Pipeline, which, when completed, will connect Syria, Jordan, Lebanon, Egypt and Turkey. Iraqi gas could then reach Europe through the planned Nabucco pipeline, which is to run from Turkey to Austria... Oil from the Kirkuk fields in northern Iraq is currently exported through a pipeline that links up the Turkish Mediterranean port of Ceyhan.

Ideally, Washington would like to promote a Turkey-Israel-India energy grid that could tap into the Iraqi reserves. This approach also fits in with the US geostrategy of developing Turkey, Israel and India as three "pivotal" states that are Washington's natural allies in the regions surrounding the volatile Middle East.

In January, Turkey launched a feasibility study for a natural gas pipeline connecting northern Iraq's fields to its Mediterranean port of Yumurtalik, which will run parallel to the oil pipelines. Once the northern Iraq gas fields are developed, 353 billion cubic feet of natural gas will flow to Yumurtalik. Turkey hopes to export liquefied natural gas (LNG) by tankers to destinations such as Israel and India. There is strong US backing for the project.

To the extent that India is kept away from linking with Iran, Washington also hopes to scuttle the prospect of an Asian energy grid developing that might involve Iran, Pakistan, India and China alongside Russia and the Central Asian states. Significantly, serious discussions have begun for the first time between Turkey and India on energy cooperation.

Turkish Foreign Minister Ali Babacan, who visited Delhi recently, has reportedly proposed to his Indian counterpart the possibility of Turkey exporting oil from the Ceyhan port to Israel's Ashkelon-Eilat pipeline and Indian super tankers sourcing oil from the Israeli port of Eilat in the Gulf of Aquba. A visit by Turkish President Abdullah Gul to India, followed by a visit by Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan, is in the cards.

The Indian Oil Corporation is already building pipelines in Turkey. A major Indian company belonging to the powerful Reliance Group (which has collaboration with Chevron) is active in northern Iraq. (By a curious coincidence, the Kurdish leadership in northern Iraq and the Indian government have employed the same lobbying firm - run by Robert D Blackwill, a former deputy national security advisor and ambassador in New Delhi - to canvass for their interests in Washington.)... what explains the US's interest at this juncture is that energy cooperation in Iraq could significantly cement the strategic ties between Israel and India and thereby ease Israel's regional isolation.

In sheer geopolitical terms, the single biggest beneficiary out of all Iraq's neighbors is going to be Turkey. During his Washington visit last month, Turkish President Gul had meetings with Bush, Vice President Dick Cheney and the secretaries of State and Energy. The agenda of discussions related to the US and Turkey jointly working in Iraq to develop its energy sources.

US-Turkey energy cooperation in Iraq impacts on the geopolitics of the region in many directions... any recalibration of the dynamics of Turkish-Iranian ties will be a matter of utmost satisfaction for Israel... Israel already enjoys strong influence in the Kurdistan region in northern Iraq. Thus, there is a tremendous convergence of interests between Turkey and Israel over issues of Israel's energy security.

The Israel-Turkey political axis is bound to consolidate in the coming period, thanks to Iraq's oil. But from Turkey's point of view, the most important outcome is the readiness on the part of Washington to disengage from its erstwhile Kurdish allies in northern Iraq. This is already giving Ankara a relatively free hand in militarily countering Kurdish militant activities. Washington is not only turning a blind eye to Turkish military incursions into northern Iraq but is even reportedly sharing vital intelligence with Turkey, which makes the Turkish military's "hot pursuit" of Kurdish militants inside northern Iraq more effective.

 
At 8:13 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Thanks again for these details. Your blog helps me to see that perhaps the "surge" is not working so well as the media have led us to believe.

 
At 9:20 AM, Blogger Jeff Crook said...

Yeah, but how many schools were painted. And violence... violence is down. And the Arabian Horse Association, led by Brownie, who's doing a good job, predicts a bumper crop of ponies in Iraq this year.

 
At 9:43 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

hmmm, wonder who is on that list of companies involved in the "...wave of construction and development that was announced at a recent convention of the Basra Development Board." ??

i'm esme and i approve of this message :)

 
At 9:46 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

It seems that the Turkish move was to get the Peshmerga to expose their positions and numbers.

The Turkish ground troops have now enterd Iraq.
The reported number of troops vary between few hundreds (by Iraq's Kurdish Foriegn Minister) to 3,000 by CNN (Turk) to 10,000 by the Turkish TV and Radio sources.

There is an interesting mention in the link above about Barzani being in that area when the attack was launched.

 
At 10:40 AM, Blogger CMAR II said...

What's "political violence"? What's so political about these deaths?

 
At 10:49 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

RE the Turkish incursion into Iraq...is the activity of Feb 22nd an escalation from the events of the 21st? Meaning, is US media totally missing the context and dynamic of this confrontation?

And, via Yahoo's story of the 21st at:

http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20080222/ts_nm/turkey_iraq_dc

If Washington is supplying real time intel to Turkey on the PPK, is it not Washington which is determining by the regulation of its intel feed when, if and where the Turks will attack Iraq? Is Washington intentionally destabilizing the Iraq/Turkey border? Statements by the US State Department urging the Turks to limit their activity to discreet goals (we've heard this before) amount to a CYA comment by State. Who IS making the decision to inform Turkey?

 
At 2:36 PM, Blogger Dancewater said...

Iraqi Red Crescent has said that one in four people in Baghdad are now displaced since the 'surge' - so the so-called calm there is the result of segregation of the population.

This means that over one million people have had their lives ruined in Baghdad alone. Mission Accomplished, I guess.

 
At 3:51 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I was interested by the description of the Kurds as surrounding a Turkish base northeast of Dohuk, and inside Iraq. I wonder whether the Turkish invasion is not in fact an operation to relieve this surrounded base, which could be isolated, and in danger of falling. One would have thought in the modern day that, like US bases isolated in Vietnam, it could be supplied endlessly by air, at least by helicopter, or even evacuated by helicopter. But maybe not. It could be in the valley, and the Kurds on the heights in the mountainous terrain, interdicting the landing ground. The model of Dienbienphu. The Turks could be in difficulty, rather than conquering the Kurds, as the affair is presented.

 

Post a Comment

<< Home