Informed Comment

Thoughts on the Middle East, History, and Religion

Juan Cole is President of the Global Americana Institute

Monday, October 29, 2007

Reconciliation Sheikhs Kidnapped;
Kirkuk, Karbala Bombings

LA Times says that 11 members of The Salam (Peace) tribal council of Baquba, were kidnapped at gunpoint as they were driving back from the Green Zone toward Baquba, where they are based. They had been conducting talks with the office of Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki. Although the kidnapping occurred in a largely Shiite district of the capital, it cannot be assumed that the Shiites are the problem.

There were also big bombings in the northern oil city of Kirkuk (8 dead, 25 wounded) and in the southern Shiite shrine city of Karbala. About Kirkuk, LAT says:

' A suicide car bomber killed seven people and wounded 25 in the disputed northern city of Kirkuk on Sunday, targeting a crowded bus terminal heavily used by travelers to the provinces that form the semiautonomous Kurdistan region, police and witnesses said. Ten shops and 15 cars were set ablaze by the afternoon explosion. "It was a suicide car; the driver detonated himself in front of a civilian crowd next to the bus terminal," said witness Rebowar Mohammad, 32. "I was close to the explosion. There was thick, dark smoke covering the place."


As for Karbala, the bombing, which left 6 dead, came in the wake of the announcement that US troops are withdrawing from the province, which is a big pilgrimage center. The withdrawal will allow the Shiite factions that have been fighting there to more openly contest control of it, and the bombing is probably an opening salvo. The martyred grandson of the Prophet Muhammad, Husain, is interred in a shrine in Karbala.

The NYT says that Kurdish rebels in northern Iraq are thumbing their noses at Turkey. About the US dilemma in northern Iraq, where it is caught between its Kurdish and Turkish allies, Sabrina Tavernisse wickedly quotes a local Kurd: "The United States “is like a man with two wives,” said one Iraqi Kurd in Sulaimaniya. “They quarrel, but he doesn’t want to lose either of them.”

For just how rugged the territory is in which the PKK is hiding out, see Gordon Taylor at Progressive Historians.

The British officer corps says of the remaining UK presence in Basra, "Get us out of here!" and admits that in recent months the foreign troops may have been doing more harm than good.

McClatchy reports of Basra on Sunday:

' Basra

Yesterday night, Gunmen attacked a convoy of the Islamic Party killing one member in the party and injured 3 others. The attackers kidnapped 2 others from the convoy which was coming from Zubeer twon southwest Basra city towards Basra.

Gunmen killed one prominent member of the Supreme Election Committee in Basra (Ausama Al Abadi) downtown Basra yesterday night.

Around 12.00: the FBS of South Oil Co. in Basra open fire against the demonstrators who gathered in front of building of the company to demand of providing them with jobs in this company. 6 of demonstrators were injured in the incident. '


The Telegraph article talks of death squad rule in the city.

Tom Engelhardt reflects on Saturday's anti-war demonstrations in the US.

Francois Furstenberg on Bush as a Jacobin. It is a point I've made, too, in connection with my book on Napoleon's Egypt.

In its 10/28/07 roundup of Iraq news items, the USG Open Source Center gives several items from the hard line Sunni Fundamentalist newspaper al-Basa'ir, which is close to the Association of Muslim Scholars. AMS leaders have denounced the Iraqi Salafis who have begun styling themselves 'al-Qaeda' and who often engage in indiscriminate violence, but AMS is uncompromisingly Sunni fundamentalist itself, and has some sort of connection to the 1920 Revolution Brigades, which the US views as an insurgent group.

'Al-Basa'ir on 24 October publishes on the front page a 600-word report on Statements 485 and 486 the Association of Muslim Scholars issued accusing the Shiite militias of displacing Sunni families in Baghdad and other governorates.

Al-Basa'ir on 24 October publishes on the front page a 300-word report on Statement 488 the Association of Muslim Scholars issued accusing the occupation forces of committing a massacre against the innocent Iraqi people in the Al-Sadr City. The statement also accuses the Iraqi Government of supporting the crimes committed by the occupation forces.

Al-Basa'ir on 24 October publishes on the front page and on page 2 a 1,200-word report on Statement 487 the Association of Muslim Scholars issued accusing the Shiite Militias of blowing up the Al-Barakah Mosque in the Al-Washash District in Baghdad.

Al-Basa'ir on 24 October publishes on the front page a 130-word report on the news statement the Association of Muslim Scholars issued condemning the kidnapping of priests in Mosul on 13 October.

Al-Basa'ir on 24 October publishes on the front page and on page 2 a 600-word report on the meeting of Abd-al-Salam al-Kubaysi, Association of Muslim Scholars undersecretary, with the association's employees and members in the Umm al-Qura Mosque in Baghdad on 21 October. Al-Kubaysi affirmed that the association will not give up on its anti-occupation policies. . .

Al-Basa'ir on 24 October publishes on the front page a 600-word editorial saying that the Iraqi political forces, which are protected and backed by the occupation forces, have failed to implement their project to partition Iraq under the pretext of federalism. The writer says that the only way for the occupation forces to resolve the challenges they are facing in northern, central and southern Iraq is to withdraw and annul the political process. . .

Al-Basa'ir on 24 October publishes on page 5 a 300-word report on the Statements 481, 482, 483 and 484 issued by the Association of Muslim Scholars. The statements condemn the oil contracts signed by the Kurdish Government, Turkish threats to invade Kurdistan, the killing of 15 civilians in the Al-Tharthar District and the arrest of Association Member Yunus al-Akidi, in the Abu-Ghurayb District.'


(I am traveling abroad this week and postings may be irregular. Can't put anything up Tuesday morning, e.g., but maybe later that day. Check back frequently.)

Labels:

9 Comments:

At 7:17 AM, Blogger Unknown said...

If the Turks wanted to be really nasty, they could invoke our joint Nato membership to ask that we come to their aid military.

 
At 10:51 AM, Blogger Chris said...

Juan has apparently misinterpreted the transfer of security control for Karbala province as involving the movement of US or multi-national troops. US and multi-national forces will continue to advise and carry out operations in Karbala province and US Special Forces will no doubt continue to have a presence in the city of Karbala. The city of Karbala is considered a key area for Iranian QUDS force operatives for example.

What this announcement refers to is Iraqi's will now have control of provincial security command and control. They will coordinate with the provincial police chief, local police chiefs and other Iraqi, US and multi-national forces in the province. They will also have oversight over most US and multi-national military operations and know the location and movement of US and multi-national forces. However private security contractors generally don't report their movement to provincial security command and control and that has been a key sticking point with the Iraqi's.

 
At 1:02 PM, Blogger Juan Cole said...

Chris:

Thanks so much for the clarification.

What sticks in my mind is that US military personnel have not patrolled Karbala or had a regular presence there for most of the past year. The troops were moved like 40 minutes outside the city and occasionally come in when the Badr commanders (aka the police) call on them because they cannot handle the Mahdi Army or Sarkhi's people. I don't remember saying anything about troop movements, though I think it is likely that the turn-over of security responsibilities may well be connected to a drawdown of US personnel in the province. When it was envisaged making a similar turnover of duties in Mosul (which has had to be postponed) it was certainly tied to a removal of US troops from the city.

The troop movement angle is hard to know because of course it has security implications and so is only irregularly reported on in the sources I tend to see.

Thanks again for helping make things clearer.

cheers Juan

 
At 5:11 PM, Blogger LeeAnn Hansen said...

Bush as a Jacobin:

Well, I certainly see the ideological analogy to the neoconservatives. But Bush certainly isn't a very smart Jacobin. And in any case, it's not a happy prognosis, since at best it leaves us waiting for an 18 Brumaire to drag us out of this particular frying pan. . .

 
At 6:23 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

GOOD NEWS ! Troops will be pulled out of Iraq in the next week or two.

By granting blanket amnesty to the Blackwater mercenaries for the Nisoor Square massacre,
the US State Department has tacitly declared that Iraqis are subhuman.

That augurs for withdrawal in two ways:
if Iraqis are not real human beings,
why should our soldiers die to give them democracy ?

AND

Since we deny them the least shred of dignity or honor or respect,
we should expect every self-respecting Iraqi to join the Resistance / Insurgency and throw out butts out.

That Secretary Rice,
crazy like a fox!

Avid Student

 
At 9:27 PM, Blogger Dancewater said...

US is still dropping bombs in Iraq (quite a lot of them, actually)

Two Iraqis killed, 10 wounded in a double US airstrike in Tikrit
Two Iraqis were killed and 10 others wounded in two separate US airstrikes Monday on the northern city of Tikrit city, an Iraqi police source said. A US aircraft jolted the Abu Obeid area in west Tikrit killing two Iraqis and injuring seven others, Colonel Ahmed Hasan from Salahaddin province police department said. Shortly afterwards, another US airstrike hit Albo'jail district in east Tikrit injuring a woman and two children, Hassan added. The reason for the two airstrikes, according to the source, is still unknown.


http://news.monstersandcritics.com/middleeast/news/article_1369639.php/Two_Iraqis_killed_10_wounded_in_a_double_US_airstrike_in_Tikrit

 
At 4:06 AM, Blogger Christiane said...

Out of a European point of view, that kind of analogies are just stupid. They don't take into account the main differences between the two :

1) The Jacobins in the context of the 18th century in Europe were progressive, both in terms of economic, socio-political liberties, while the Bush administration is incredibly conservative on all counts.

2) The Jacobins were really trying to bring political liberty to the other countries; they weren't trying to be the only superpower, nor to reign on an empire; they just wanted friendly regimes around them. In fact, in all the countries they invaded, there were political groups to support them, although these groups would never have been able to overcome their feodal/monarchical structures without the help of the Jacobins. To sum up : the Jacobins were of good faith while advocating for liberties. Meanwhile the Bush admnistration has only perverted the concept : in its mouth its an empty propaganda shell, hiding the desire of US hegemony and its greed for oil.

3) The Jacobins were fighting against real and serious threats, aka against all the neighbouring monarchical regimes and their armies. The US instead, despite all the Bush propaganda, is only fighting against small political groups of terrorists, who are best taken care off with police and intelligence, not with regular armies and wars.

3) The Jacobins were fighting for smaller people against the privileges of the nobility and against the power of the church. Instead the Bush administration is only favoring the most privileged classes and the big corporations.

4) The fight of the Jacobins was going "dans le sens de l'histoire" (in the direction of history); all the countries few and few abolished the absolute monarchy. On the contrary, the Bush administration is going against the "sens de l'histoire", acting like a colonial power, while all the former colonies of the Portuguese, the Netherlandese, the Spaniards, the Italians, the French and the Brittish have been abolished before the last quarter of the previous century.

Conclusion : to compare the Jacobins and the Bushists is to give much to much credits to the Bushites; it's taking their propaganda for a granted fact.

 
At 5:14 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

clarification usefull for all of us.
Thanks
Mark- v2 (0765-098765) mark@yahoo.com

 
At 3:43 PM, Blogger MonsieurGonzo said...

OIL began its relentless price appreciation during the same month, March '03, as the invasion of IRAQ. One generally accepted reason for today's oil prices being where they are is DEMAND = "the phenomenal growth of emerging markets; e.g., China and India."

Another seductive (and well propagated by oil producers, service / drilling companies) reason for $90+/bbl prices is supposed diminishing SUPPLY = "Peak Oil."

And there is of course a FEAR = "risk premium" added on to the price of oil, as traders and middlemen tack on, and rightly so ~ some value-added to guarantee deliveries when pipelines and pumping stations become vulnerable guerilla targets within geo-political theatre.

But ever since the invasion and subsequent occupation of IRAQ, i have suggested in a series of posts here, essays elsewhere that much of the oil price appreciation since 2003 is a result of the truly mind-boggling consumption of fuel by the U.S. military itself.

Far more than food, or ammo, or anything else ~ fuel is the primary logistic commodity (and day -to- day operational focus of, thus) the occupation forces.

iow, in my opinion the story is not just about the estimated ~$30 trillion USD valued reserves ~ upon which the occupation forces sit ~ but also the estimated ~$60 billion USD / year worth of OIL Americans take away from the global oil market to simply remain there in situ, status quo = on base / off-grid, caught in the hideous dynamic of more armour = more fuel; in the words of the British Commander: “dressing up like Robo-Cops, going into town, shooting people.”

 

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