Informed Comment

Thoughts on the Middle East, History, and Religion

Juan Cole is President of the Global Americana Institute

Saturday, January 30, 2010

NATO, Afghan Troops Clash, 4 killed;
Call for Talks with Taliban Rejected

NATO troops appear to have made a horrible error in Afghanistan on Friday, as they clashed with what turned out to be Afghan National Army troops and called in an air strike on them, killing 4 and wounding 6. The governor of Wardak province where the fight took place said he was at a loss to explain it.

The incident comes on top of Thursday's slaying by NATO of an Afghan religious leader, again apparently by accident.

Aljazeera Arabic is reporting that Duran Safi, an insurgent leader of the Hizb-i Islami in eastern Afghanistan, has rejected talks with the Karzai government.

The Saudi government declined President Hamid Karzai's call for Riyadh to broker a deal with the Taliban, saying that first the latter must cut off their relationship with Usamah Bin Laden and cease giving him safe harbor.

Ironically, at the same time India is softening on the idea of talks with the Taliban, which New Delhi initially opposed out of fear they would rehabilitate allies of Pakistan.

Meanwhile, Sonia Verma explores the issue of how likely the insurgents in Pakistan are to open talks with the Kabul government. The most promising negotiations might be with Gulbadin Hikmatyar, the leader of Hizb-i Islami or the 'Islamic Party' in eastern Afghanistan. It is unlikely that Mullah Omar, leader of the Old Taliban in Quetta, will take part in talks, and even if he did, she says, he does not seem in firm operational control of the Taliban commanders, some of whom openly say they will defy him if he makes the wrong decision. Siraj Haqqani, leader of the Haqqani network in North Waziristan and south Afghanistan, will also likely not talk.

Money graf from Verma's fine piece:

'According to an unclassified report by Task Force Kandahar, only 30 per cent of insurgents fight for money. The rest take up arms because of tribal allegiances or for “other reasons,” an amorphous category that encompasses everything from revenge to land disputes. Just 10 per cent fight for religious reasons, according the analysis.'


Aljazeera English reports on the Taliban attack at Lashkar Gah late on Friday after the London conference ended.



Ajazeera English interviews a female member of parliament on the issues broachd at the London conference.



End/ (Not Continued)

3 Comments:

At 10:00 AM, Anonymous Obadiah Shoher said...

Mr. Cole,

It is odd to describe any talks with Gilbuddin Hekmatyar as "promising." Compared with him, Taliban are an Ivy League of moderate Islam.

After his turn to Islam, Hekmatyar became the most ruthless warlord and the most extreme in his views. He is universally hated by Afghanis.

In fact, Taliban were so popular in Afghanistan precisely before they stopped the barbarities by Hekmatyar and his ilk.

 
At 12:21 PM, Blogger Retired Catholic said...

Any indication that contractors were involved with the shooting of the Imam?

 
At 12:58 PM, Blogger MonsieurGonzo said...

that Al Jazeera video on "Afghanisation" was particularly interesting, Juan ~ thank you for posting it. ref : “The Saudi government declined President Hamid Karzai's call for Riyadh to broker a deal with the Taliban, saying that first the latter must cut off their relationship with Usamah Bin Laden and cease giving him safe harbor. has apparently provoked a response guardian.uk Afghan Taliban leader ready to end al-Qaida ties : “The Taliban leader in Afghanistan, Mullah Muhammad Omar, is ready to break with his al-Qaida allies in order to make peace in the country, according to (Brigadier Sultan Amir Tarar), the retired officer with Pakistan's Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) agency who trained [the exiled Taliban leader]. "The moment he gets control the first target will be the al-Qaida people. He wants peace in the country, he doesn't want adventure. He has enough of that." If accurate, his assessment would be a major boon to western countries scrambling to find a negotiated solution to ‘the Afghan war’ [ie., "the NATO-American military occupation of Afghanistan"].

 

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