Zogby: Clinton 10 Points ahead in Pennsylvania
Zogby is reporting as follows, that there is a late surge for Clinton in Pennsylvania and that her margin is being given to her by white, ethnic, Catholic men. It also seems clear that as undecided voters (which fell recently from 8% to 6%) and those who wanted "someone else" (fell from 4% to 3%) have made up their minds, they have tended to go for Clinton. Otherwise Obama's percentages have been pretty stable though perhaps falling slightly. Clinton's increases are beyond the margin of error.
'Released: April 22, 2008
Newsmax/Zogby Poll: Clinton Up 10 Points; Beats Margin of Error
UTICA, New York – New York's Hillary Clinton continued to pull away from rival Barack Obama of Illinois as the campaigning in Pennsylvania ended and voters prepared to cast ballots today, the latest Newsmax/Zogby daily telephone tracking poll shows.
She now leads Obama, 51% to 41%, having gained three points over the past 24 hours as Obama lost one point, pushing her beyond the poll's margin of error to create a statistically significant lead for the first time in the Pennsylvania daily tracking poll.
Meanwhile, 6% remained undecided and another 3% said they preferred someone else in the two-day tracking poll. It was conducted April 20-21, 2008, using live operators working out of Zogby's on-site call center in Upstate New York, included 675 likely Democratic primary voters in Pennsylvania. It carries a margin of error of +/- 3.8 percentage points.
Pennsylvania
Clinton 4-20/21: 51% . . . 4-19/20: 48% . . .
Obama 4 20/21: 41% . . . 4 19/20: 42% . . .
Pollster John Zogby: "Sounds like a radio station's call letters, but remember WECM – white, ethnic, Catholic, men. That is what put Clinton into her double digit lead here in Pennsylvania..." '
Juan speaking here:
McClatchy points out that a 10-point win just won't do it for Clinton.
It would keep her in the race, though.
posted by Juan Cole @ 4/22/2008 04:03:00 AM
|
Facebook
7 Comments:
Standard Operating Procedure. Establishment media manipulation. Last week Obama was ostensibly losing support throughout the country while gaining support in Pennsylvania against Clinton. This was during the utterly contrived Establishment media "controversy" over Obama's remarks about Pennsylvanians being bitter and clinging to guns and religion etc. In other words the Establishment media claimed Obama was GAINING support amongst the public he supposedly insulted. At the same time he was supposedly losing support in the relatively disinterested remainder of the country. The E-m quickly realised the incongruity of that situation, particularly msnbc and fox if you noticed, and within a day or two of those unfavorable "polls" Obama was back to an expanding lead against Clinton nationwide.
Clinton threatens to "totally obliterate" Iran (read: nookular attack), if, ahem, Iran attacks israel. Meanwhile, we have this:
American accused of giving nuclear secrets to Israel
By Randall Mikkelsen
Tues, 22 April 2008
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. authorities arrested an American engineer on Tuesday on suspicion of giving secrets on nuclear weapons, fighter jets and air defense missiles to Israel during the 1980s, the Justice Department said.
Ben-Ami Kadish acknowledged his spying in FBI interviews and said he acted out of a belief that he was helping Israel, court papers said. He was accused of reporting to the same Israeli government handler as Jonathan Jay Pollard, who is serving a life term on a 1985 charge of spying for Israel.
Kadish's arrest is a sign the Pollard scandal may have spread wider than was previously acknowledged. Kadish was arrested in New Jersey and was scheduled to be arraigned on Tuesday afternoon at U.S. District Court in Manhattan, authorities said.
Israeli Foreign Ministry spokesman Arye Mekel, asked about the arrest, said: "We know nothing about it. We heard it from the media."
Full story Here
Israel, our only "true friend" in the Middle East. Haw haw haw. Lock him in the same cell with with the other israeli spy doing time at the moment, Jonathan Pollard. How many "enemy" Iranians have been caught spying on the United States? Zero, that's how many.
Though Obama has the edge in delegates, Clinton will make him a better candidate by fighting on. I hope she wins this night and continues, since I am not sure Obama means to takes us out of Iraq competely or has a ecent domestic policy.
What I care about above all is whether we can trust Obama to get us out of Iraq completely. I am not sure after Samantha Power and Colin Kahl.
I'm hoping for Obama but I know that my expectations of him as President depend on him having the enormous courage and fortitude it will take to "walk the walk". There is no way of telling now if he has these qualities.
Clinton does have enormous courage and fortitude when it comes to serving her own ambitions. But I've yet to see any sign that she would use these qualities to for the benefit of the nation.
McCain at this point in his life can only flounder around and whip out his POW credentials at the slightest provocation. Five years in a POW camp has to be a very painful experience, but it hardly qualifies as training for national leadership. Its not like he spent five years studying economics, medicine, law, environmental science or climatology.
How will Hillary Clinton "totally obliterate" Iran without a genocide against 65,000,000 Iranians ??
I was tempted to wear a t-shirt saying "Hillary, Obliterate Me Too" to work today.
Godwin's Law prohibiting Nazi analogies does not apply in this case, because certainly, this is the closest to Hitlerite thinking the US presidential race has ever come.
Prof. Cole, I wonder if you'd post an opinion on Hillary's suggestion of a U.S. nuclear umbrella over not just Israel, but Arab states fearful of Iran. Some pundits have goshed that this is a deviation from U.S. foreign policy--something like locking the barn door after the horse has escaped? How is it a deviation and what would be the potential results?
Post a Comment
<< Home