Informed Comment

Thoughts on the Middle East, History, and Religion

Juan Cole is President of the Global Americana Institute

Wednesday, February 20, 2008

McCain's Holiday from History in Pakistan;
Will any Old Military Dictator Do?;
Lies about Obama

Barack Obama's spectacular win in Wisconsin has the GOP frightened. The Democratic turnout was much, much better than the Republican. The Democrats and independents are energized.



Senator John McCain could not get the independents out in Wisconsin, and the Republican turnout was lackluster. In politics, failure always produces bluster. McCain spoke after his primary victory in Wisconsin last night, casting himself as a voice of experience in foreign policy.

He said things like this:


' I will fight every moment of every day in this campaign to make sure Americans are not deceived by an eloquent but empty call for change that promises no more than a holiday from history . . .

Today, political change in Pakistan is occurring that might affect our relationship with a nuclear armed nation that is indispensable to our success in combating al Qaeda in Afghanistan and elsewhere. . .

Will the next President have the experience, the judgment experience informs, and the strength of purpose to respond to each of these developments in ways that strengthen our security and advance the global progress of our ideals? Or will we risk the confused leadership of an inexperienced candidate who once suggested invading our ally, Pakistan, and sitting down without pre-conditions or clear purpose with enemies who support terrorists and are intent on destabilizing the world by acquiring nuclear weapons?'




These remarks were aimed at Barack Obama, and they are lies. McCain has repeatedly made this false charge, warning against sending troops to Waziristan. But Obama never advocated invading Pakistan with US ground troops. He said that the US should strike at al-Qaeda if it had actionable intelligence about its whereabouts in Pakistan, even if the Pakistani authorities refused to give permission.

This stance is US policy. In fact, George W. Bush implemented it with a Predator attack on an al-Qaeda leader in Pakistan just a couple of weeks ago, an attack that the Pakistani government declined to authorize. (Kevin Hayden concurs).



Actually, one of our overly deferential journalists should please get some backbone and just ask McCain what he would do if he had intelligence on Bin Laden's whereabouts in Pakistan and could not get authorization from Islamabad to strike at him.

I personally think that Obama was unwise to make the statement he did, because there are some things better left unsaid. But aside from pure pacifists, what American would not pull the trigger on that old monster Usamah if he or she had the chance? I mind McCain pulling a Rove and making hay with a policy stance of his opponent that he actually agrees with.

And I think there is good reason to ask whether McCain helped create al-Qaeda and the mess in Pakistan to begin with. It is time for someone to start holding the Cold Warriors who deployed a militant Muslim covert army against their leftist enemies accountable for the blow-back they created.

Moreover, does McCain really know much about how the world works? Does he really understand Middle Eastern history?

McCain thinks when "only' 4 US troops are wounded in a single day in Iraq, or when only 15 Iraqi police are killed in mortar strikes in a single day, that is a sign of 'calm' and that the 'surge is working' in Iraq, and it is all right for us to put up with these US casualties for the next 100 years and spend $9 billion a month on this boondoggle for his friends in Houston. He is part of a successful propaganda campaign, as Tom Engelhardt points out that has made Iraq disappear as an issue even though people die there every day and the US is hemorrhaging blood and treasure for goals that remain, to say the least, murky. McCain even manages to celebrate the defeat of al-Qaeda in Iraq at the same time as he insists the US has to stay in Iraq a hundred years to fight al-Qaeda! Which is it? Either the surge has failed in its goals or it has succeeded. If it has succeeded, why do we have to stay? If it has failed, when will it succeed?



And, let's just consider the shaky dictator Pervez Musharraf, who just suffered a sharp rebuke from the Pakistani electorate, as I wrote about today in Salon.com. McCain appears never to have met a rightwing dictator he didn't like. McCain defends the dictator. Here is what McCain said about Musharraf late last December:

"Prior to Musharraf, Pakistan was a failed state," McCain said. "They had corrupt governments and they would rotate back and forth and there was corruption, and Musharraf basically restored order. So you're going to hear a lot of criticism about Musharraf that he hasn't done everything we wanted him to do, but he did agree to step down as head of the military and he did get the elections."

So in the building confrontation between democratic parties and the military dictator who trashed the rule of law, which would McCain support? What kind of relations will a president McCain have with the new prime minister of Pakistan if McCain is on record supporting the dictatorship that preceded?

The potted history McCain offers is wrong, and it points to the deep problems of authoritarianism and admiration for dictatorship in McCain's political philosophy. Pakistan was not a failed state before 1999, and in fact most of its political problems derived from repeated military coups such as the one spearheaded by Musharraf, as well as from the US government giving the Pakistani military gobs of money and enormous stockpiles of weapons, and winking at its nuclear program. In fact by "US government" above, we really could just substitute "Senator John McCain."

Pakistan's constitution prescribes a parliamentary government. When the military has allowed Pakistanis to go to the polls, they have elected moderate, centrist political parties such as the Pakistan People's Party and the Muslim League. Those parties have longstanding grass roots, cadres, canvassers, and loyal constituencies.

Bhutto was elected in 1971 as head of the PPP.


The PPP was overthrown in 1977 by Gen. Zia ul-Haq, a fundamentalist general who had his boss, PM Zulfiqar Ali Bhutto hanged on trumped-up charges in 1979 and who kept promising new elections that never came. Gen. Zia sponsored the Muslim fundamentalist Mujahidin that Ronald Reagan called "freedom fighters," and which included the early al-Qaeda. He also put enormous resources into making an atomic bomb. Nowadays a leader of that description would be part of Bush's axis of evil. But Reagan cozied up to Zia like a cat to catnip.

And McCain went out to cozy up to the military dictator himself, in February of 1984. McCain supported the Reagan jihad, cynically deploying radical Muslim extremists like Gulbuddin Hekmatyar against leftist secularists in Afghanistan.

Here is what McCain was up to when the radical Muslim extremist Gen. Zia was in power in Pakistan, according to UPI, Feb. 17, 1984:

'Senator John Tower, R-Texas, and Rep. John McCain, R-Ariz., arrived in the Pakistani capital Friday evening for the start of a three-day visit.

During their stay, the legislators will meet Pakistan's military president, General Mohammad Zia ul-Haq, and other top officials. . .

While in Pakistan, they will also visit an Afghan refugee tent village on the outskirts of Peshawar, near the border with Soviet-occupied Afghanistan.

On arrival at Islamabad airport, they were received by U.S. Ambassador Deane Hinton and Pakistani Defense Secretary Aftab Ahmad Khan.'


Now McCain is the big expert on problem solving in Pakistan. McCain is the Pied Piper of Hamelin; he'll be glad to get rid of your rat problem, but at the price of making your children disappear.



So lest we take any holidays from history, I have some questions for John McCain. Did you or did you not know about Gen. Zia's nuclear weapons program? Did you wink at it? If so doesn't that make you a proliferator of weapons of mass destruction to a radical Muslim extremist regime?

And what about this AP article from 1985:

' Rep. Tom Loeffler, R-Tex., presented the "Freedom Fighter of the Year" award to Afghan resistance leader Wali Khan on behalf of the U.S. Council for World Freedom on Oct. 3.

Loeffler called on Congress and the American people to "broaden support" for freedom fighters in Afghanistan, reminding listeners of America's own fight for freedom.

Congress has agreed to give $15 million in covert assistance to the Afghan cause, the first time the legislators have "stepped forward" with aid since the beginning of the conflict, according to Loeffler. . .

Accepting the award on behalf of Khan was Pir Syed Ahmed Gailani, head of the National Islamic Front of Afghanistan, for which Khan commands 20,000 resistance fighters.

Other congressmen who joined Loeffler included Rep. Eldon Rudd and Rep. John McCain, both Arizona Republicans. '




So how much support did John McCain give to the precursors of the Taliban in Afghanistan? To the budding al-Qaeda?

Despite what McCain says about military rule bringing stability, the opposite is the case. Never mind the dirty war in Afghanistan that led to the displacement abroad of 5 million Afghans, 3 million of them to Pakistan, and which helped destabilize Pakistan. Never mind the filling of Pakistan with machine guns and drug smuggling to support McCain's al-Qaeda "freedom fighters," which created a million heroin addicts in Pakistan. Karachi spiralled into virtual civil war in the mid to late 1980s under Zia. There were massive Shiite demonstrations against unfair Sunni fundamentalist policies of Zia. A Movement for the Restoration of Democracy began mobilizing political parties. Zia put Benazir Bhutto of the Pakistan People's Party under arbitrary house arrest.

Gen. Zia finally exited the scene in a summer, 1988, airplane crash. But he left behind 16 martial law amendments, among them a provision for the president, who is not popularly elected, to arbitrarily dismiss parliament and the prime minister. It would be as though Bush could fire Nancy Pelosi and Harry Reid and hold new elections whenever he liked, timing them so that the Republicans had an advantage.

That power of the president to just sack the prime minister was never legislated by any representative of the Pakistani people. It is a martial law amendment. It was legislated by Gen. Zia, friend of Muslim radicals.

So it was not the fault of the civilian political parties that the governments would "rotate back and forth," in McCain's words. Ghulam Ishaq Khan, who was never popularly elected president but rather got the post by a kind of default, kept dismissing the elected prime ministers.



As for there being corruption, la di da. The Republican Party, home of Tom Delay and Jack Abramoff, should talk about corruption. And as for that crack about civilian governments "rotating back and forth," isn't that a common thing in democracies? But the rotation wasn't anyway natural. It was a product of high-handed, dictatorial presidents exercising martial law powers and sometimes being blackmailed into doing so by powerful covert intelligence officials. The martial law amendment allowed presidents to dismiss three governments in a row.



And then the fourth civilian government, of Nawaz Sharif's second term, was overthrown.



The instrument was an illegal and extra-constitutional coup by Gen. Pervez Musharraf.

Musharraf was a hawk who backed the Taliban (and very likely al-Qaeda) in Afghanistan and who nearly provoked two wars with India. Yes, a pillar of stability, as McCain says. Quite right. Among the reasons alleged for his coup against Sharif was that he feared Sharif would back off from supporting the Taliban under Clinton administration pressure, and that Sharif would make peace with India at Washington's insistence. The very essence of stability.



Sharif had agreed to send in a special operations team to kill or capture Usama Bin Ladin in neighboring Afghanistan in 1999. When Musharraf made his coup, he reneged on the deal. I.e., Musharraf is indirectly implicated in the September 11 attacks insofar as he could have perhaps prevented them by taking out Bin Laden and he refused. Yes, as McCain says, a great pillar of stability.



The Pakistani military had created the political instability with its earlier coups and martial law amendments and creation of arbitrary, dictatorial powers vested in the president, which lightly disregarded the will of the people as expressed at the ballot box. And now in 1999, the military got rid of the civilian government altogether for a while, until in 2002 the US State Department pressured Musharraf to allow elections.

Musharraf did not dare actually run for office against a real opponent. He staged a "referendum," in which he got less that 50% of the vote, but since he had no opponent he could hardly lose. He rigged the parliamentary elections of fall 2002, ensuring that his Pakistan Muslim League-Q had a majority. He interfered with the PPP and the Muslim League-N so much that he let the Muslim fundamentalist parties take over two provinces and get 17% of seats in parliament. Some of these members of the provincial parliament from the fundamentalist parties were actually Taliban. Others had trained the Taliban or actively denied that al-Qaeda existed.

Far from "bringing stability" as McCain suggested, Musharraf has destabilized Pakistan in the past year, arbitrarily sacking the chief justice of the supreme court, provoking massive demonstrations, brutally invading the Red Mosque, and provoking a violent backlash in the northwest. This is stability?

And is this really the kind of government McCain supports? Are these judgments the fruit of his experience? Is this the kind of holiday from history he is going to take? Having backed the radical Muslim extremists in Afghanistan in the 1980s, having winked at Zia's dictatorship and nuclear program, having coddled Musharraf's authoritarianism, is McCain going to bring us more disasters like September 11, done by his good friends, Reagan's Freedom Fighters?

If so, by all means bring on the breath of fresh air instead.

21 Comments:

At 6:02 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

McCain is a great asset for the Democrats. He is a foul-mouthed idiot renowned for his gaffes and "mis-spoken" comments. The strong ties to W are alone enough to screw his chancee.

The economy cannot be "stimulated" to delay the recession hit at elections time, because the USA does not have the means. The Japanese injected huge sums in the economy and dropped the interest rates to zero because they were cash-rich and enjoyed trade surpluses even after the real-estate bubble burst. The US can't do that, and the inflation will compound the problems. BTW, it took Japan a decade to recover, despite its very healthy industry and finances.

A recession hit will kill off the chances of any Republican, no matter how good. With McCain, they may as well throw the towel.

 
At 6:19 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

This summary is beyond brilliant.

McCain would be a disaster for America and for the world. I do know the neo-cons and those behind an ever stronger American/Israeli alliance are praying for a McCain victory. That should tell you something, namely that their goal would be to further destabalize the Arab Middle East thereby giving Israel total control and power in the region. Israel does not want a strong Iran. They want to be the only power in the region. Returning their competition back to the stone age is Israel's dream. I think it is very dangerous to have one country sitting alone on top of the mountain. That country ends up with carte blanche with no one to hold them back from acting on pure evil and sadism.

 
At 7:05 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Excellent post, Juan -- I learned much -- but marshalling facts against this administration's policies to our side is like shooting fish in a barrel, while arguing them to the Republicans is like trying to explain algebra to a cat.

But no matter how much McCain wants his 100-year war, he's not going to get it, not even in the almost impossible eventuality that he can convince over half the American people that it would be a good idea. No one ever asks him where he's going to find the soldiers for this war, much less how he's going to pay for it, and the latter question will be painfully obvious to everyone by November.

If Pravda had been as self-deluding as our own establishment media, the Soviet Union would never have lasted even 70 years. They may have pushed Iraq off the front page and out of the mini-news hole on the network news, but it is not out of the minds of the American people, simple-minded polls notwithstanding. And as the economy continues to melt down, the cry for withdrawal from Iraq will only grow, as Englehardt points out. The public probably exagerates how damaging the debacle has been to our economy -- that took equally stupid domestic policies as well -- but in a time of belt-tightening, it's the most obvious place to cut back, just as the broke British realized their empire was finished after World War II, whether they liked it or not. May we face reality as gracefully as they did.

For more:

http://smirkingchimp.com/thread/12869

 
At 7:33 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

We know from his attacks on Romney in the primaries that Mr. Straight Talk has no compunction about flat-out lying.

My own sense is that only a flareup of violence in Iraq will deny McCain the Presidency. The Surge has succeeded in its primary goal: taking the political heat off Republicans.

 
At 8:35 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

This is a wonderfully detailed post! I found your emphasis upon the larger historical context especially edifying. Indeed, I believe that if Americans understood the larger contexts surrounding and informing the pressing issues of the day, the majority would support a vastly different course than what has generally been the case. I've just discovered your BLOG, and will happily share it with others!

 
At 9:51 AM, Blogger Susan petry said...

Thanks for putting McCain's legacy into perspective.

Given his recent statements about "Islamic terrorists" being "the transcendent battle of the 21st century" and his willingness to embrace "war and more war" as his answer to any foreign policy challenge, I can't help but be reminded by the rejoinder that was used against Goldwater when he ran:

"in your guts you know he's nuts."

 
At 9:59 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

McCain said:

' I will fight every moment of every day in this campaign to make sure Americans are not deceived by an eloquent but empty call for change... Today, political change in Pakistan is occurring that might affect our relationship with a nuclear armed nation that is indispensable to our success in combating al Qaeda in Afghanistan and elsewhere... will we risk the confused leadership of an inexperienced candidate who once suggested invading our ally, Pakistan? '

Juan Cole said:

' These remarks were aimed at Barack Obama, and they are lies. Obama never advocated invading Pakistan with US ground troops... He [Obama] said that the US should strike at al-Qaeda if it had actionable intelligence about its whereabouts in Pakistan, even if the Pakistani authorities refused to give permission. This stance is US policy.'

Invading Pakistan from the air is invading Pakistan, Juan. And if this stance is US policy... where is the change that the changeling is promising?

Their is little difference between McCain, Hilton, and Obama. If one of these three is elected we will still be in Iraq in 2016. Or we will have collapsed under the strain of the new wars any of the three are sure to start under pressure from Big Oil, Big War, and Big Israel.

The target demographics are different, the boxes are different... what this really is is a tribute to the total market dominance of the Republicrat/Demoblican Complex in the hands of Corporate America and Israel.

 
At 11:56 AM, Blogger Unknown said...

Excellent article. I hope it gets beyond the blogisphere. I've passed it on to all I could.

 
At 12:46 PM, Blogger Unknown said...

Dr. Cole has a beam in his eye for Sen. Obama. His comment in Aug 07 was reckless and inflamed the Pakistanis. The distinction Dr. Cole draws is empty and meaningless. Hopefully, Sen. Obama has come to regret his reckless opinion.

As for the hagiography of Bhutto and Sharif, while it's correct that the military has been the destabilizing influence throughout Pakistan's history, both these politicians were corrupt and incompetent in office. Bhutto was no democrat and enforced dynastic rule in the PPP. These elections have the prospect of putting her untested, corrupt, playboy husband in as PM. That will be of no benefit to Pakistan or the US.

Perhaps Sharif can, at long last, rise to the challenge of leadership. I think, however, that we'd be better off if Zardari stepped aside (on behalf of his son as well), in favor of Aitzaz Ahsan.

 
At 1:08 PM, Blogger abarefootboy said...

I wish all regularly scheduled programing would be interupted while this was read to the American public... oh .. wouldn't it be a good thing if President Bush and his happy band of brigands within the Administration would read it aslo... ?

 
At 3:34 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Hmmm...the absurdity that is McCain, the ever increasingly painful mediocrity that is Obama, and the seeming inconsistency that is Clinton.... Between them, why go in the tank for Obama, Juan?

 
At 3:37 PM, Blogger Therapy Cat said...

"The Emperor has no clothes." Absolutely spot on, simple and obvious logic here. I would love for Obama to challenge McCain on this; because, otherwise, the media will probably conveniently fail to notice the contradiction. Thanks for putting it out there in black and white. Owen Scott, Baton Rouge

 
At 5:37 PM, Blogger Jaraparilla said...

Great post, Juan, but I was suprised to read this:

"I personally think that Obama was unwise to make the statement he did, because there are some things better left unsaid. "

Surely you mean "... Obama was unwise to make the statement he did, because Pakistan is an independent, sovereign nation and the USA has no business launching military attacks outside it's own borders." Right?

Or are such things "better left unsaid" in the leadup to an election in the military-mad USA?

Oh yes, I am just a "pure pacifist"!

But what if the US military detected Bin Laden walking though the streets of (say) Sydney, Australia? Would a quick military drone attack be OK? What about the potential loss of innocent life (which usually seems to occur in these situations)? What if the intelligence turned out to be wrong (shock, horror!) and it wasn't even Osama?

There is a lot to be said for "pure pacifism", and a lot to be said for respecting International Law. Even during an election season.

 
At 6:38 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

haven't been on this site for a while--but shouldn't somebody like yourself give Obama some guide? my feeling Obama at that debate simply did not want to risk looking weak. as he and every one else knew the war in Afghanistan was just as unjustifiable as the iraq war. but one has to pick one's fight--especially in a democracy like ours, leaders can not to leave the crowd too far behind.

haili

 
At 8:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

This is wonderful reading,.. !!! thank you so much for posting this. So much of the time all of the dots do not get connected. I hope that people from the various campaigns, news media, and other interests able to use this information are reading your blog. It is so helpful to have well told, coherent historical information. Thank you.

 
At 8:29 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Wow! Thank you for that brief Vacation TO history. Where else in the world would I have learned so much so quickly?

 
At 9:02 PM, Blogger Unknown said...

Well, Juan Cole. You article is missing alot of facts! I red your whole article but couldn't find a single point about "Balochistan" which is 48% land mass of pakistan and most troubled repart of that failed country after north-west Pashtun areas.
Let me clarify. During 1970's Bhutto was taken down by Dictator Zia-Ul-Huq because Bhutto was stirring up worst conflict in the Baluch areas, in which 5000 Baluch fighters died and 3000 pakistani army soldiers. I can't write more about the conflict on here, so you should go look it up and research before writing anything about the failed state.
I don't care what is your stance on Bush policies and this up-coming elections in U.S. but atleast you should represent a fair and neutral picture of "pakistan". There's not one side is good and other bad, infact both have good/bad things.

 
At 11:59 PM, Blogger Daniel said...

Great post, Juan. Unfortunately you have a few responses from readers who subscribe to the "Protocols of the Elders of Zion" ideology.

An Obama presidency is the only chance we have of addressing the plight of America's poor.

 
At 1:58 AM, Blogger Sulayman said...

I'm very surprised Republicans decided to back McCain, didn't he once refer to American lives as "wasted" in Iraq?

 
At 3:40 PM, Blogger Alamaine said...

And, now, today, we find that McCain has had an affair with some lobbyist, debated on MSNBC this AM not so much as an issue with 'romance' but with parlaying his influence among the lobbyists themselves. Inappropriate relationships take on many several guises.

While we might be concerned about some odd connexion between McCain and some Alcalde & Fay lobbyist hen, we always have the image of John and George displaying their love for each other in public. THIS is the relationship that should be the most bothersome, given that this encompasses any number of circles of Hell!

Ha!

 
At 2:35 AM, Blogger Michael Pollak said...

The WaPo article you quote said that the Pakistan government "declined to authorize" the US missile strike a couple of weeks ago on al-Libi. But just for the record, the front page article in Friday's NYT
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/02/22/washington/22policy.html
gives a different picture, namely that there was a pre-existing agreement, recently made, wherein the Pakistani government gave us permission to make these strikes without asking specifically in each case. (There are many reasons for this, but probably paramount among them is that actionable intelligence is often only useful for 30 minutes -- not enough time to get specific authorization). The NYT article gives the impression that the US didn't go ahead before it got this permission, and is worried that it might have to stop if the newly elected government revokes it.

So it might not be accurate to say that Obama's declarion that we should strike even if the govt. of Pakistan is against it is US govt. policy.

 

Post a Comment

<< Home