Informed Comment

Thoughts on the Middle East, History, and Religion

Juan Cole is President of the Global Americana Institute

Saturday, December 29, 2007

Huckabee Obsesses about 660 Pakistani Aliens;
Clinton's 5 Point Plan

Mike Huckabee is a smooth-talking, fanatical country preacher who has learned to make himself likeable on camera but who spews all kinds of hateful nonsense when among like-minded devotees.

The dark side of Huckabee, the anti-science and anti-gay side of Huckabee, and the anti-Palestinian genocidal side of Huckabee, are all much more dangerous than the incompetent fool side of Huckabee, but the latter is pretty dangerous, too.

The incompetent fool side was on full display in his remarks, apparently provoked by the assassination of Benazir Bhutto, about the alleged threat of illegal Pakistani immigration into the United States. He actually thundered about 660 persons, claiming that the Pakistanis came right after Latinos in the ranks of illegals. He also seemed to think that building a wall around Mexico would keep out Pakistanis (the illegals among whom likely mostly just overstayed their visas and landed at LaGuardia).

He actually repeated his gaffe when questioned by reporters:


' "I am making the observation that we have more Pakistani illegals coming across our border than all other nationalities except those immediately south of the border," he said, repeating the assertion he made to his audience earlier. "And in light of what is happening in Pakistan it ought to give us pause as to why are so many illegals coming across these borders." '


There are an estimated 12 million illegal immigrants in the US. AP writes, "the Pew Hispanic Center said Mexicans make up 56 percent of illegal immigrants. An additional 22 percent come from other Latin American countries, mainly in Central America. About 13 percent are from Asia, and Europe and Canada combine for 6 percent." Even among the 1.5 million or so illegals from Asia, Chinese, Filipinos, Koreans, Vietnamese and others predominate. Pakistanis must be a vanishingly small proportion. Why even bring them up? Is it possible that our country preacher is bigotted against Muslims?

Huckabee's first response to Benazir's assassination was to ask whether "martial law" would be "lifted." Martial law had not been declared, rather a constitutionally permissible "state of emergency" had been declared by Musharraf. He lifted it some time before Huckabee's remark.

Huckabee is a narrow-minded, bigotted and ignorant person, and I am quite sure that the American people have had enough of that sort of thing in the White House for a while. On the other hand, I certainly hope that he emerges as the Republican standard-bearer, because I think any Democratic candidate could make mincemeat of him once his bizarre views become public.

You contrast the absolute nonsensical drivel coming out of Huckabee's mouth with the following interview of Hillary Clinton by Wolf Blitzer on CNN's Situation Room on Friday, and Clinton's mature experience and careful, knowledgeable phrasing are like a silk purse to Huckabee's sow's ear:

' Wolf Blitzer: There are conflicting reports coming in from the Pakistani government right now about the cause of death, who may have been responsible; perhaps al Qaeda, maybe not. The bottom line: do you trust the Pakistani government right now to conduct a fair and full investigation so that all of us around the world will know who killed this woman and how she was killed?

Hillary Clinton: I don't think the Pakistani government at this time under President Musharraf has any credibility at all. They have disbanded an independent judiciary, they have oppressed a free press. Therefore, I’m calling for a full, independent, international investigation, perhaps along the lines of what the United Nations has been doing with respect to the assassination of Prime Minister Hariri in Lebanon. I think it is critically important that we get answers and really those are due first and foremost to the people of Pakistan, not only those who were supportive of Benazir Bhutto and her party, but every Pakistani because we cannot expect to move toward stability without some reckoning as to who was responsible for this assassination.

Therefore, I call on President Musharraf and the Pakistani government to realize that this is in the interests of Pakistan to understand whether or not it was al Qaeda or some other offshoot extremist group that is attempting to further destabilize and even overthrow the Pakistani government, or whether it came from within, either explicitly or implicitly, the security forces or the military in Pakistan. The thing I’ve not been able to understand, Wolf - I have met with President Musharraf, I obviously knew Benazir Bhutto and admired her leadership – is that President Musharraf, in every meeting I have had with him, the elites in Pakistan who still wield tremendous power plus the leadership of the military act as though they can destabilize Pakistan and retain their positions; their positions of privilege, their positions of authority. That is not the way it will work. I am really calling on them to recognize that the world deserves the answer; the Bhutto family deserves the answer, but this is in the best interest of the Pakistani people and the state of Pakistan.

Blitzer: Senator, just to be precise; you want a United Nations international tribunal, or commission of inquiry, whatever you want to call it, along the lines of the investigation into the assassination of Rafik Hariri?

HRC: There are other institutions that are international that have credibility, like INTERPOL and others. It doesn’t have to be the exact model of the Hariri investigation but it needs to be international, it needs to be independent, it needs to have credibility and nothing that would happen inside of Pakistan would. I’m reluctant to say it should be an American investigation where we send our law enforcement personnel, because I’m not sure that would have credibility for a different reason. So that’s why I’m calling for an independent international investigation.

Blitzer: This is a damning indictment of President Pervez Musharraf. Some are calling on him to step down, do you believe he should step down?

Clinton: What I believe is that he should meet certain conditions and quickly. We should immediately move to free and fair elections. Obviously, it’s going to take some time for Benazir Bhutto’s party to choose a successor. Nawaz Sharif has said that he won’t participate at this time. I believe again some kind of international support for free and fair elections in a timely manner would be incredibly important. If President Musharraf wishes to stand for election, then he should abide by the same rules that every other candidate will have to follow. We also want to see a resumption of the move toward an independent judiciary. I think that was a terrible mistake. This is an odd situation, Wolf. The people in the streets are wearing suits and ties, they are lawyers, they are professionals, they are the middle class of Pakistan, which really offers the very best hope for a stable, democratic country and that is in America’s interest, but more importantly, it is in the interest of the Pakistani people.

Blitzer: I think I understood what you were implying when you said a U.S. investigation probably wouldn’t have credibility for different reasons but explain to our viewers out there why you’re suggesting a U.S. investigation into the death of Benazir Bhutto probably wouldn’t have credibility either.

Clinton: I think it would politicize it at a time when what we want to do is, as much as possible, support the continuing move toward democracy. We need, frankly, an international tribunal to look into this where there can be a broad base of experts who are not aligned with any one country. Obviously I would certainly offer our expertise through the FBI and others to assist that tribunal. But I think it would be much better for it to be independent and impartial and be seen as that. Part of what our challenge here is, is to convince the Pakistani people themselves and particularly the business elite, the feudal elite, the military elite that they are going down a very dangerous path. That this path leads to their losing their positions, their authority, their obvious leadership now. Therefore we need to help them understand what is in their interest and that of course includes President Musharraf.

Blitzer: Over the years, since 9/11, the United States has provided the Pakistani military with some $10 billion. Will you as a United States Senator continue to vote for funding of these billions of dollars going to the Pakistani military?

Clinton: No, and I’m very pleased that finally the Congress began to put some conditions on the aid. I do not think that we should be giving the Musharraf government a blank check and that’s exactly what the Bush Administration has done. Even after Musharraf cracked down on the judiciary and the press and the pro-democracy movement in Pakistan, President Bush was saying he was a reliable ally. Well, I don’t think he’s a reliable ally when he undermines democracy and when he has failed to reign in the Al Qaeda Islamist elements in his own country.

So I think we do need to condition aid. I would do it differently. I would say, look, we want to know very specifically what accountability you’re going to offer to us for the military aid that we believe should be going in the fight against Al Qaeda and the Taliban. The Department of Defense is equally unaccountable with the money that passes through them.

I’d like to see more of our aid shifted toward building civil society. I’ve been calling for this. I have legislation that is bi-partisan, Education for All that is particularly aimed -- I’ve talked to President Musharraf about the necessity for us to raise the literacy rate, to reach out with health care and education that would help the Pakistani people to really concentrate on civil society.

We should be working with these rather heroic lawyers and others who are in the streets demanding democracy instead of giving the Bush blank check to President Musharraf and the military.

Blitzer: But aren’t you afraid, Senator, that as imperfect and as flawed as President Musharraf is, there’s a possibility whoever comes to replace him in this large Muslim country with a nuclear arsenal already, heavy al Qaeda presence, a resurgent Taliban - that the alternative could be even worse from the U.S. perspective?

Clinton: Of course. We all fear that and that’s why we need to take remedial action immediately. When I came back from my last meeting with President Musharraf in January of this year, I called the White House, I asked that they appoint an American envoy, a presidential envoy. I suggested that a retired military leader who could relate to President Musharraf on a one-to-one basis and could shuttle back and forth between President Musharraf and President Karzai because there were a lot of tensions.

And also perhaps serve as a kind of support to President Musharraf, military man to military man, about what it takes to really move toward democracy that President Musharraf in every conversation I’ve ever had with him has given lip-service to. But I don’t think the Bush Administration has frankly asked enough of President Musharraf, has provided the right kind of assistance, has given the support needed.

We have this difficult problem in the military. We have a lot of the senior leadership that we have relationships with, we don’t have those relationships for a lot of reasons with the junior leadership. I just think we have given a blank check under President Bush to President Musharraf and the results are frankly not in the interests of the United States, they are not in the interest of Pakistan and they are certainly not in the interest of the region. We should begin to try to have an ongoing process that includes India and Afghanistan. A lot of what you see happening in Pakistan is driven by the very strong concern coming out of the Pakistani government toward Afghanistan, toward India.

We have really had a hands-off approach. We have said, okay, fine, you be our partner in going after Al Qaeda, we’ll turn a blind eye to everything else. That has undermined our position. I believe Pakistan is in a weaker position to combat terrorism today then they were after 9/11, in large measure because of the failed policies of George Bush. '


Barack Obama objected to Clinton's call for a UNO special inquiry, saying that "It is important to us to not give the idea that Pakistan is unable to handle its own affairs." While Obama's concern for Pakistani sovereignty is admirable, Clinton's suggestion of a United Nations commission would, I think, be quite popular in Pakistan except in military circles. So it isn't about national sovereignty. And it is certainly the case that the Pakistani public would be more likely to believe a UNO commission than it would to believe Pervez Musharraf on this issue.

John Edwards said much the same things as Clinton with less detail. But lets face it, she had actually been to Pakistan and her remarks show that having been First Lady really does count for foreign policy experience, since it allowed her to address this crisis with aplomb and perspicuity. Obama's campaign came off looking tacky when it tried to suggest that Clinton's Iraq vote somehow got Benazir killed.

26 Comments:

At 4:02 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

If the Republicans are racing to see who can spout off the most nonsense (and some days it appears that way) then Huckabee has a solid chance of winning. As you wrote, this would be ideal -- there's no way mainstream Americans can swallow this, can they?

 
At 6:43 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

So-----What is the goal? Also----What is the feasible goal?

I don’t care to say whether or not Senator Clinton is a wise decision-maker, but immediately calling for international intervention smacks of another American trying to talk tough. If you want to see the roots of her campaign and of Huckabee’s campaign, just go watch a local southern politician get up on the courthouse steps and talk tougher than that other wimp. She just says it in a way that Michigan people might like.

Personally, I prefer a third Arkansas politician, J. W. Fulbright. He wrote a book about THE ARROGANCE OF POWER.

Oops, I led-off by asking that we focus on feasible goals, but forgot the focus. Lots of American scholars and politicians talk about Democracy as if that is an indisputable goal, and that we can intervene to show the way. So, we encouraged Benazir Bhutto to return to Pakistani politics, and obviously, we are already in over our heads. Pakistan and Afghanistan is far more complex that tough talk.

Plus, just go categorize and count the propaganda themes in most successful insurgencies where a foreign power is present. The overwhelming propaganda theme is to throw-out the foreigners. Even the Communists use that theme more than they use class oppression.

I would like to see a discussion about these goals or about other American national interests.

1. Increase stability
2. Contain nuclear proliferation (especially to the Taliban)
3. Significantly weaken Al Qaeda
4. Relieve the Afghan suffering



Bob Spencer

 
At 9:55 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Yes, it's true that Huckabee mastered the 19 principles of propaganda. It's also true that here Clinton was more thoughtful, but thoughtfulness is not a propaganda principle. (Freshman Clinton's "experience" ranks right up with the greatest story ever sold - it's doubtful that Dennis Thatcher's or Martin Ginsburg's respective marital relationships qualify either as experienced for being either prime minister or justice, respectively.) Huckabee's thoughts show he would not make a good president. Clinton, on the other hand, cannot get elected. As Steve Jarding wrote, demos cannot count electoral votes. As Bob asked, let's focus on what's feasible - in order to win the election and not on winning a near meaningless primary.
Independent

 
At 10:57 AM, Blogger Unknown said...

Disappointed Juan. Obama said nothing more than you said in your own column in Salon, to wit that Bush's policy in the region is a shambles due in no smalll part to the invasion of Iraq which Clinton supported from 2002-2006 - the year she began her presidential campaign if not formally, than practically.

As far as an UN investigation is concerned, I see a closer call or how is the Hariri investigation coming these days?

 
At 11:02 AM, Blogger Unknown said...

Sorry Juan, just having my coffee now.

I forgot the first paragraph of you Salon article:

The assassination of Benazir Bhutto on Thursday provoked rioting in Islamabad and Karachi, with her supporters blaming President Pervez Musharraf, while he pointed his finger at Muslim extremists. The renewed instability in Pakistan came as a grim reminder that the Bush administration has been pursuing a two-front war, neither of which has been going well. Bush's decision to put hundreds of billions of dollars into an Iraq imbroglio while slighting the effort to fight al-Qaida, rebuild Afghanistan, and move Pakistan toward democracy and a rule of law has been shown up as a desperate and unsuccessful gamble. The question is whether President Musharraf now most resembles the shah of Iran in 1978. That is, has his authority among the people collapsed irretrievably?


No different from what Obama and his campaign manager David Axelrod actually said

 
At 11:29 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Re Huckabee the Evangelical holds bizarre views?

Oh my. Where to start.

The problem is not religious tunnel vision, cultural bigotry, or even racism being sounded from the campaign stump. The problem is that it works so well in gathering a crowd and sending them to the polls. Public education has failed to teach the foundations of our civic system.

If progressives, liberals, liberal Christians, meditation acolytes, athiests, gays, wiccans etc. start to react to intolerance with hatred of intolerance, then we lose the thing we seek to protect. Counterintuitive as it may seem, we need to love the diversity and cheer Rev. Huckabee's right to air his beliefs. As Prof. Cole points out, those tent-meeting visions won't survive the light of day.

Rule of the majority is as common as dictators. Hitler could have won an election in 1944, in the most literate country in the world.

The US distinctive is our Constitutional contract that protects minorities, down to the individual. It guarantees my God-given right to religious freedom, to privacy, protection from unreasonable search, torture, imprisonment without neutral adjudication by an independant judge, etc. Even if I am a criminal murdering religious despot like Jim Jones.

This country demands tolerance of nut cases that are praying for the early destruction of our earth and the eternal torture of all that do not share a belief in their twisted God.

However we must not allow anyone to take over our country and start wars in breach of the constitution that guaranteed their right to vote. And if it does happen, we MUST reassert the rule of law.

The answer to the Huckabee Trend is to follow the measured constitutional steps against a Vice President who acted in breach of our Constitution

The remedy is to exercise our right to freedom of expression, to know and discuss what we are voting on. Sign the petition at WexlerWantsHearings.com.

 
At 11:34 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

The 660 number is a dogwhistle to the fanatical Christian believers, a reference to 666 -- The Sign of Satan. Its a link he'll milk for all its worth.

 
At 12:10 PM, Blogger karlof1 said...

Too bad CNN didn't ask this line of questions to ALL the candidates; it would provide a very good litmus test.

The word out of Pakistan is Bhutto cracked the right side of her head, the right temporal lobe, on the handle used to open and close the sunroof she was sticking out from to wave to her supporters, and that the cause of death was due to a blow hard enough for her brains to ooze from the wound, " That damaged her brain, causing it to ooze and her death," http://in.news.yahoo.com/071228/211/6oyrl.html Now every modern sedan I've ever been in with a sunroof--BMW, Toyota, Subaru, Nissan--had no handle as they are electric; and I find it hard to believe that a modern, bulletproof/armoured sedan would have a manual sunroof opener. Apparantly, there is some video of the event. I would like to see if it confirms the death by handle storyline.

 
At 12:10 PM, Blogger Unknown said...

Barnett Rubin made much the same point in his interview with Scott Horton(ICGA link above):

In the U.S. press bombings in Pakistan are usually presented as acts of “terrorism” directed against individuals. But there is a political strategy behind the activities of the Pakistani Taliban, as people explained to me in Pakistan and as I tried to summarize in my article. The Pakistani Taliban also coordinate much more closely with al-Qaida than do the Afghan Taliban. In fact the Pakistani Taliban largely formed as a protection force for the al-Qaida leadership that escaped into Pakistan in December 2001, while the US military had already been tasked with planning for Iraq rather than finishing the work in Afghanistan and Pakistan.



Barack Obama on CNN:

Wolf Blitzer: Your chief political strategist, David Axelrod, causing some commotion out there today with his comments about Hillary Clinton, and blaming her—at least some are interpreting it this way—blaming her in part for a series of events that resulted in Benazir Bhutto's assassination today. Let me read to you what he said.

Senator Barack Obama: You know, I—I have to-I have to—Wolf, you know, I heard—I heard—I don't need to—I don't—I don't need to hear what you read because I was—you know, I overheard it when he said it, and this is one of those situations where Washington is putting a spin on it. It makes no sense whatsoever.

Wolf Blitzer: Alright, tell us what he meant. Tell us what he meant.

Senator Barack Obama: He was—he was—he was asked—he was asked very specifically about the argument that the Clinton folks were making that somehow this was going to change the dynamic of politics in Iowa. Now, first of all, that shouldn't have been the question. The question should be, "how is this going to impact the safety and security of the United States," not "how is it going to affect a political campaign in Iowa." But his response was simply to say that if we are going to talk politics, then the question has to be, "who has exercised the kind of judgment that would be more likely to lead to better outcomes in the Middle East and better outcomes in Pakistan." And his argument was simply that Iraq has fanned anti-American sentiment and it took our eye off the ball to the extent that there are those who are claiming now that their experience somehow makes them superior to deal with these issues. I think it's important for the American people to look at the judgments they've made in the past, and then—the experience hands in Washington have not made particularly good judgments when it comes to dealing with these problems. That's part of the reason we are now in this circumstance. He in no way was suggesting that Hillary Clinton was somehow directly to blame for the situation there. That is the kind of, I think, you know, gloss that sometimes emerges out of the heat of campaigns that doesn't make much sense, and I think you're probably aware of that, Wolf.

Wolf Blitzer: Well, I know that sometimes comments can be taken out of context and you're trying to give us the context. I'll just read to you what he said, and then I'm going to let you just respond. "She was," referring to Hillary Clinton, he said—

Senator Barack Obama: Wolf—

Wolf Blitzer:—"She was strong supporter of the war in Iraq, which, we would submit, is one of the reasons why we were diverted from Afghanistan, Pakistan and Al Qaeda, who may still have been players in this event today. So, that's a judgment she'll have to defend." All right, so I just want to make sure that—

Senator Barack Obama: So, that—

Wolf Blitzer: —we're getting the full context.

Senator Barack Obama: As I said—as I said, all he was simply saying, by the way, in response to a political question about how this would impact Iowa, he was simply making an argument that in fact the war in Iraq has not helped us go after Al Qaeda, deal with the terrorists and extremists that threaten America. But, Again, it's important for us to not look at this in terms of short term political points scoring. What we have to figure out is collectively, Republicans, Democrats, all of us, how are we going to deal with these problems over the long-term. And I've already said as president, immediately upon inauguration, I will begin to organize a summit with all the Muslim leaders around the world and have a direct conversation with them, our friends and our enemies, about how we can align the Muslim world against these barbaric actions, against terrorism. I believe that part of that will be to begin phasing out our occupation in Iraq, part of it will involve talking to actors like Iran and Syria, to get them to act more responsibly, part of it will be for us to shut down Guantanamo and restore habeas corpus and send a signal to the world that we're doing things differently. That's the kind of non-conventional thinking and approach that we're going to have to take to reverse the decline in our moral standing around the world that inhibits our ability to actually take on terrorism. That's what it's going to take to make us safer and that's what I intend to do as President of the United States.

Wolf Blitzer: Senator Obama, thanks very much for joining us. Good luck out there on the campaign trail.

Senator Barack Obama: Thank you so much, Wolf. I appreciate you

 
At 1:00 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I hope I'm wrong, but I have a gloomy suspicion that every time Clinton (or any Democratic candidate) demonstrates familiarity with furrin names like Nawaz Sharif and Rafik Hariri, or confidence in furrin institutions like the UN, more voters are drawn to the pig-ignorant Huckabee. "She thinks she's smarter than us!" Well, yes, and that's because she is smarter than you, but when did that win elections?

 
At 1:18 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

These are good words by Clinton. They recognize implicitly that we are to Pakistan as Syria is to Lebananon. And that's where Obama's point comes in. Don't get me wrong - I have no more use for Obama than I have for Hillary. But Hillary's support for the war in Iraq helped make the US dependent on Musharraf as an ally and THAT virtually ensured Bhutto's death, as she was a threat both to Musharraf and to Islamic Extremists (whom Musharraf has never seemed to be in any hurry to do anything about, apart from the symbolic move here or there).

 
At 1:24 PM, Blogger blank said...

There are some scary people running for President. Benazir Bhutto's death has more questions than answers. I have a theory as to why, which I posted.

What this country needs is a wise leader, someone who uses his brain faster than his military.

 
At 2:06 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Clinton's approach is the same tired set of lines we associate with the democratic establishment. Look to the UN, appoint commissions, make vague noises of taking steps to "hold people accountable." It reminds me of when the republicans used to say "the grownups are back in charge" soon after Bush came into office. It's just two sides of the same coin: U.S. interventionism to the rescue. We won't be happy until all of southwest asia is under our control.

 
At 2:23 PM, Blogger Unknown said...

Bob Spencer, comment 2, said a mouthful. Clinton's discussion may have been "Presidential," (in fact, she probably discussed the problem w/ Bill!) but in the end what would her proposal accomplish? Pakistan isn't Lebanon, where an investigation of Hariri's death was supposed to gain us some leverage against Syria and put Lebanon together to our liking. Even there, the consequences were nil.

In Pakistan, where the consequences of instability have global importance, would an investigation do anything to calm the place down? Stability there--at least, stability of a non-Jihadist kind--clearly favors US interests. But what influence can we bring to bear that doesn't blow up in our faces?

Benazir's murder was the consequence of a US initiative designed either to ease Musharraf out or to legitimize him. Score another failure for the Bush administration.

 
At 2:34 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Professor Cole, could you comment on these allegations: http://www.indianexpress.com/story/255051.html ? It is unconvincing, but I would like to know if there are other hints at this (or if this is just a reflection of the animosity between India, Pakistan)

 
At 3:09 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

It should be noted that the US shoehorned Bhutto back into Pakistan under a power sharing aggreement with Musharef that was designed to expand his popular base and save the dictatorship.

The US is working with Musharef to quell the democratic forces from the country's middle class and judiciary.

Clinton should have been honest and said that the US is on the side of dictatorship not democracy in Pakistan.

Bhutto is ridiculously portrayed as a democratic oppossition in the US-centric press. The assassination is a blow the America's rickity plot to save a US-backed Dictator.

 
At 3:25 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Senator Clinton has called for a Hariri-type investigation of Bhutto's death. It's a bit odd that Clinton would use the UN Hariri investigations as a model. There have been nine UN reports by two different investigators and they have not fingered anyone. The first two reports by the first investigator suggested that the Lebanon and Syrian security services were probably involved, the seven later reports didn't say much of anything. Other murders investigated by the second UN investigator likewise were fruitless.
http://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/article.aspx?id=1411

 
At 3:35 PM, Blogger David Seaton's Newslinks said...

Juan,
I usually agree with you on most things, but on Hillary's take on Pakistan I don't.

I think the best thing that the USA could do right now is to step back and not try to interfere in their internal affairs. As polls show that Osama bin Laden is much more popular there than our Dear Leader, I think any thing we said or did would be unproductive in the extreme.

We've done enough harm there already.

 
At 3:56 PM, Blogger Arnold Evans said...

Mr. Cole,

Do you really believe Obama's campaign "tried to suggest that Clinton's Iraq vote somehow got Benazir killed"?

Would it be fair for someone to say you're tacky for trying to suggest Bush's decision to invade Iraq somehow got Benazir killed?

I'm honestly curious about what could have gone through your mind to have you type that. At this point I'm assuming you just repeated something you heard somewhere else. That cannot have been your own analysis of the statement.

I'm sure you'll agree that this segment of Obama's response from an earlier comment is head and shoulders above anything any other candidate has said in its understanding of the Middle East and its ability to advance US interests including in fighting terrorism as a tactic:

And I've already said as president, immediately upon inauguration, I will begin to organize a summit with all the Muslim leaders around the world and have a direct conversation with them, our friends and our enemies, about how we can align the Muslim world against these barbaric actions, against terrorism. I believe that part of that will be to begin phasing out our occupation in Iraq, part of it will involve talking to actors like Iran and Syria, to get them to act more responsibly, part of it will be for us to shut down Guantanamo and restore habeas corpus and send a signal to the world that we're doing things differently.

 
At 4:59 PM, Blogger AmericanGoy said...

What is India's OFFICIAL position on this?

Just curious.

Yah know, India and Pakistan is the one area where nuclear war is actually very possible.

 
At 5:52 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Professor Cole's reflexive acceptance of the Clinton camp's media frame job of the Axelrod comments seems peculiarly lazy and uncritical, given that the questions asked of Axelrod and Obama arrived directly from the outright politicization of the Bhutto assassination by Clinton surrogate Evan Bayh earlier in the morning. Bayh said in no uncertain terms that Bhutto's death demonstrated why Clinton was the only viable Democratic candidate, lest the Democrats look weak on national security. Clinton endorsed this view moments later, saying "it certainly raises the stakes" when asked pointedly about Bayh's comments. That was the background and context for the multiple questions asked of Axelrod: essentially, does Bhutto's death help Hillary and hurt your guy?

It was irresponsible of the media to push that frame, just as it's wholly irresponsible for Professor Cole to push it unthinkingly forward out of context, and focus on the politics of perception (ie, Obama/Axelrod are "tacky") over the recent regional history and serial bad decisions that have led to this complex moment, which was precisely what the Obama campaign was trying to address.

Even stranger is the extreme logical leap that Clinton's attention to detail proves that "having been First Lady really does count for foreign policy experience". Really, now? It's not rather a question of having fluent foreign policy advisors that have chawed on these issues some?

I think there are some incisive points made in this thread, particularly by mccutcheon and don bacon, that deserve a response by Professor Cole. Not least a better justification for the viability of a Hariri-style UNO investigation.

In sum, I find it frustrating how many blogger-pundits are comfortable ignoring poor judgments of our politicians in the late 90's and early 00's for the current coy and easy narratives and dulcet tones of the spin room. Whither the fierce independence of the early ought years of the blogosphere? I want "informed comment", not "implied consult". Let's turn the Campaign Spotlight demo off.

 
At 7:02 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

What good is a UNO investigation? The UN is dominated by a few, veto wielding nations. They couldn't prevent one of their members from invading and brutally occupying a helpless country. What credibility does the UN have? At best, it is a humanitarian relief org, but I believe there are many more, less bureacratic orgs that can even do that job.

 
At 7:55 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

"But lets face it, she [Hillary Clinton] had actually been to Pakistan and her remarks show that having been First Lady really does count for foreign policy experience, since it allowed her to address this crisis with aplomb and perspicuity."

Juan, I agree with you on most things but not here. Remember, it was Hillary's valuable "experience" as first-lady, probably when Bill took it upon himself to bomb the dickens out of already-defenseless Iraqis in 1998, that probably convinced her that even more bombing of defenseless Iraqis would be a good thing. Hence, her support for the disastrous Iraq War in 2002 and in the years since.

IMHO it was Barack Obama who actually struck just the right balance. Obama has commented on this before, and he didn't shy away from indicating a need to confront Pakistan in the event of a clear and present danger. But he was right and quite tactful to note that US intervention at this delicate juncture would inflame matters and make them worse.

Right now, the perception of the US throughout the world is that we take advantage of crises and difficulties that affect other countries, to intervene with our troops (often under the guise of "multinational force"), then attempt an occupation and major resource grab, like the proposed hydrocarbon law in Iraq. That's built up a well of mistrust deeper than any canyon in the 50 states, and the price of this is that any kind of US intervention in a situation like this is seen as little more than another US-driven pretext to take control of another country. In fact, since Bhutto's assassins still have not been identified, some of the conspiracy theories actually implicate the USA somehow.

IOW, Hillary's suggestion is flat-out naive and fails to take into account the suspicion with which the US is viewed by the rest of the world. The best thing we can do is to just let matters cool off a bit. So Obama was clearly the smarter commentator here, while Hillary as always is a day late and a dollar short.

FWIW, I wouldn't write off Huckabee so easily. I'm also afraid of him, but you have to understand that the vast majority of Americans either embrace Creationism specifically or knock evolution in other ways, and Huckabee's religiosity isn't at all unusual. Furthermore, his anti-Palestinian diatribes, unfortunately, have a lot of support.

Obama or Edwards would handily beat Huckabee, due to the general distaste with Republicans. Hillary Clinton, however, would be trounced by Huckabee-- even now polls indicate that, and since Huckabee is emerging as a kind of "consensus candidate" among Republicans, Hillary would unify them and even many Independents against her and for Huckabee. IOW we're courting disaster if we nominate Hillary. Her Iraq War supporting and her incredibly stupid support of outsourcing and that H1-B program, have caused her to hemorrhage supporters. She's not a person to nominate for a national election. Obama or Edwards would be the person for that.

 
At 10:30 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I think Bob Spencer made a nice list of points
1. increase stability. Well if that means fund the military in Pakistan, Hell NO! Stablility can only arise when people like Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama stop trying to use Pakistan for their own, really far-right wing US/Israeli imperial, purposes.
2. contain nuclear proliferation. That has to start at home with the US. No next generation nukes! No bunker busting "tactical nukes". And then on to disarmament, as we are pledged to. Real, actual disarmament. And as soon as we start mouthing, "non-proliferation" Israel has to be first on the list. No nukes for the "good guys" are OK : Israel, India... NO!
3. Significantly weaken Al Qaeda. Means drain the swamp they rise from : Israel within its 1967 borders, and a sovereign, vibrant Palestine protected from further Israeli aggression.
4. Relieve the Afghan suffering. Start by withdrawing all foreign troops, and relieve a little Iraqi suffering while we're at it : Bring All US Troops home NOW, from Iraq.

 
At 3:48 PM, Blogger David Seaton's Newslinks said...

Juan,
I don't think you appreciate fully the significance of the Huckabee break out: I have been writing a lot about Mike Huckabee lately, not because I'm endorsing him but because I find his sudden appearance, his explosion, so significant.

"The surge from nowhere of MikeHuckabee(...) threatens to split and even destroy the Republican coalition, by dividing social conservatives from economic conservatives." Clive Crook -FT

It seems to me that Huckabee has discovered and is exploiting for all it's worth, what is in effect a "contradiction" within the Republican, conservative coalition that Reagan built. He is speaking to the working poor of America but without the nauseating, implicit racism of Reagan's state's rights, anti-welfare, rhetoric.

I don't believe that Huckabee is really a serious populist. He isn't because he wishes to abolish income tax and substitute it with a sales tax. Progressive income tax: taking wealth from the wealthy and redistributing it to the poor, is the heart and soul of social justice and sales taxes favor the wealthy and penalize the poor. Everything begins there. So to advocate eliminating income tax while bombastically attacking the "The Wall Street to Washington axis" is either cynical or weird.

I think it's cynical, and I prefer it that way. If he is cynical it is because he is shrewdly exploiting a lifetime of knowledge of his audience (flock?) and their fears and resentments and this is knowledge that progressives could profit from acquiring for themselves.

What Huckabee is for sure doing is taking control of the social conservative wing of the Republican Party. And even if he isn't the candidate, without his enthusiastic support, no Republican anywhere will win much of anything in November of 2008. I think he is going to be the sure VP for Giuliani or McCain.


It is really difficult to talk about class conflict in American English because all the words like, "class struggle", "contradiction" etc are taboo or sound foreign to American ears. This is as if a doctor would have to use awkward euphemisms when making a diagnosis. Imagine a gynecologist writing, "the patient reports experiencing severe discomfort whenever a dime is inserted in her pay phone." Communication would suffer. The march of science would be arrested. Probably the most significant thing that will happen in the coming months in America will be the rebirth of progressive politics and the language of progressive politics among the working poor.

Any real change has to come from people who feel oppressed and victimized. Mike Huckabee is probably nothing but a red herring, but we should encourage the "red*" and discard the "herring". If the Democrats cannot exploit the goldmine that Huckabee has opened then others will come along who will.

*Notice how the language of American politics has been deliberately deformed. In every other language in the world including British English, "red" means "left" and "blue" means "conservative". In the US they mean exactly the opposite.

 
At 12:11 AM, Blogger Diana said...

"Huckabee is a narrow-minded, bigotted and ignorant person, and I am quite sure that the American people have had enough of that sort of thing in the White House for a while."

you wish. Bush was elected twice because rural America has more in common with Pakistan than anyone in either America or Pakistan is ever going to believe.

oh, and red will never mean "left" in America because it is the color of those damn furreigners the Communists.

 

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