Pakistani Army Moves in
Takes Faridia Seminary
Standoff at Red Mosque
Pakistani troops took the Faridia Seminary attached to the Red Mosque on Friday. On Saturday morning, the army continued to move in on the mosque itself, amid sounds of explosions. The clerical leader there, Abdul Rashid Ghazi, has been talking about fighting to the death, and told the seminarians with him during Friday prayers that he had "written their wills." Do they have Kool-aid in Pakistan?
Pakistani troops also removed walls and barriers in front of the women's seminary attached to the mosque, in what could be a preparation for a rescue mission.
Pakistan's exiled civilian politicians, such as former prime minister Benazir Bhutto, appear to view the current turmoil in the capital as an invitation to defy the military government by returning to Pakistan to contest the elections scheduled for this fall. Some high Pakistani officials are now saying that Ms. Bhutto would not be arrested on her arrival in the country, contrary to earlier threats issued by Gen. Musharraf.
The proliferation of madrasahs or Muslim seminaries in Pakistan, which offer K-12 and college-level education, is enabled in part by the government's refusal to spend money on opening and supporting new civil schools throughout the country.
' When parliamentarians or donors read the allocation for defence over the next fiscal year, it will not include the military pensions, which now run into 35.6 billion rupees. Nor will the defence outlay include Rs 1.4 billion demanded separately for the combatant accounts of the defence division which include the Maritime Security Forces and others with dotted line or direct reports to the military, Rs 40, 723 million in salaries for defence production, Rs 7.2 billion spent on the civil armed forces, Rs 3.7 billion for the Pakistan Rangers, Rs 1.5 billion for the Frontier Constabulary, Rs 359 million for the Pakistan Coast Guards, nor the one billion rupees set aside for military schools, cantonments and other residuals. The Atomic Energy Commission too, which falls under the control of the Strategic Plans Division, has been allotted separate funds, yet the two billion rupees demanded this year is charged to civilian expenses under the cabinet division.
For a developing and relatively poor country, giving the military this enormous proportion of the national budget is criminal (the same is true for India, by the way). With regard to the proportion of Pakistan's GDP devoted to education, at around 2% it was in the bottom 12 of the 187 countries in the world in 2004-2005.
It was alleged that the plane of Gen. Pervez Musharraf, Pakistan's president, came under small-arms fire as it was taking off from Islamabad.
Video from Friday:
Labels: Pakistan
5 Comments:
I am disappointed at Prof. Cole's rather casual misuse of statistics out of context when he discusses Pakistan's expenditures on Defence and Education. As an academic, he owes himself better.
Pakistan's Defence expenditure in fiscal 2008, at Rs. 275 billion, is 15% of the Federal Governments budget, and around 3% of GDP.
Public expenditure on Education, which is largely a Provincial and Local issue, draws around 2.8% of GDP. If Private expenditure is included, Education expenditures in the economy are estimated at over 5% of GDP.
I will be happy to discuss this furtheer with him if he should so wish.
Tariq Mufti
Ojai, California
Statistics are political. How you count things produces particular results. This squib looks at the history of the issue and suggests that one reason for the apparent lesser proportions of military spending in the budget more recently is that certain kinds of procurements are no longer counted. For a developing country like Pakistan, the current level of military spending is absolutely unacceptable and is making the country much poorer and less stable than it otherwise would be. The military has such vast resources that it overpowers civil society and parties.
As for education, here is the 2004 report:
"However, the fact is that at least six million children of primary school-going age are still not enrolled (SDPI, 2004) and less than half of allchildren end up completing primary school (MOE, 2004). Despite the government’sclaims that education is its top priority, public spending on it during 2002- 2003 declinedto 1.8 percent of the GDP from 2.6 percent in 19901."
As of 2004, Pakistan was in the bottom 12 of the 187 countries in the world in proportion of GDP spent on education.
The combination of crushingly high military expenditure and laughable educational expenditure is producing things like the madrasah crisis, since the powerful military manipulates Islam, and Deobandi entrepreneurs take up the slack in government education spending.
"For a developing and relatively poor country [Pakistan], giving the military this enormous proportion of the national budget is criminal (the same is true for India, by the way)"
From
http://indiabudget.nic.in/ub2006-07/bag/bag3.pdf
(in crore rupees)
Defence expenditure for 2005/6 = 48625 + 33075 = 81700
Total expenditure = 508705
From
http://indiabudget.nic.in/es2006-07/chapt2007/tab11.pdf
GDP at current prices for 2005/6 = 3225963
Therefore, defence is 81.7/508.705 = 16.06 % of total union expediture, and 81.7/3225.963 = 2.53 % of net GDP
From http://stats.uis.unesco.org/unesco/TableViewer/document.aspx?ReportId=121&IF_Language=eng&BR_Country=3560
India's Public expenditure on education ( as % of GDP ) (2004) 3.8
2.53 % < 3.8 %.
"For a developing and relatively poor country [Pakistan], giving the military this enormous proportion of the national budget is criminal (the same is true for India, by the way)."
You seem to be uninterested in either justifying, or qualifying this quoted statement. It's perfectly fine to criticize India's budgetary allocation, but it must be done with reference to conditions in *India*, not on a fanciful analogy with Pakistan.
UNESCO statistics on India :
http://stats.uis.unesco.org/unesco/TableViewer/document.aspx?ReportId=121&IF_Language=eng&BR_Country=3560
Public expenditure on education as % of GDP : (2004) 3.8
From the 2005-6 budget
http://indiabudget.nic.in/ub2006-07/bag/bag3.pdf
Defence Expenditure = 81700/508705 = 16 % of total union budget,
and comparing with GDP numbers from
http://indiabudget.nic.in/es2006-07/chapt2007/tab11.pdf
Def. Expenditure = 81700/3225963 = 2.53 %
A left-of-center government came to power in 2004 in India, and if anything, *increased* the outlay for education. In any case, the percentages above are not volatile over a time of 2-3 years.
The above statistics (from UNESCO and the Govt. of India Ministry of Finance ) are as reliable as you're going to obtain. I am unaware that anyone has seriously contested these numbers as being far from the truth (which is unlike the case for, say, the PRC military expenditure).
As an additional corroboration, the UNESCO website *does* back your numbers for education spending in Pakistan (2.3 % of GDP in 2005).
It is fairly preposterous to have heartfelt convictions without full backing from facts.
It is hazardous to compare countries based on quotients of GDP dedicated to X or Y. One country's national police may be covered by the central government and allow a neat breakout. The same force in another country might be financed by an interior ministry without a neat disagregation. In a third country, the primary security may be provided by local police financed by local taxes or fees, which foreign authorities will aggregate to "administration" or "education" simply because that accounts for the biggest sub-component and it is too cumbersome to audit each case.
Education expenditures are also dubious means of comparison. In some countries, the education budget is a black hole of graft and patronage. Governments pay teacher salaries to legions of no-shows or "maharajah" pensioners. The no-shows includes a mixture of both party minions and honest people who cannot survive on the pittance, but collect it an put up a token appearance in ill-equipped classrooms. Public school textbook graft can be rife, and many families still have to support students with private expenditures for supplies that do not figure in the official statistics.
Youth school enrollments and literacy rates may be a more reliable way to compare countries' educational efficiencies. For instance, compare Pakistan to India or other peers of comparable percapita GDP may offer some guidance.
See:
http://hdr.undp.org/hdr2006/statistics/indicators/
And particularly:
http://hdr.undp.org/hdr2006/statistics/indicators/237.html
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