Informed Comment

Thoughts on the Middle East, History, and Religion

Juan Cole is President of the Global Americana Institute

Tuesday, June 20, 2006

Dems Back Phased Withdrawal
Republicans: Stay and Stay, Spend and Spend


Senate Democrats have come up with two resolutions, with most of the coalescing around the vaguer one.

AP describes the more popular resolution:


' The resolution would urge _ but not require _ the administration to begin "a phased redeployment of U.S. forces" in 2006 and, by year's end, give Congress its plan for "continued redeployment" thereafter. Additionally, the resolution calls for American troops, which have been focused on combat operations in Iraq, to more quickly switch to "a limited mission of training and logistic support of Iraqi security forces, protection of U.S. personnel and facilities, and targeting counterterrorism activities." It also maps out steps Senate Democrats say the fledgling Iraqi government must take to lay the foundation for a successful democracy and calls for an international conference to help Iraq overcome problems it faces. '


My hero, Russ Feingold, and other heroes Barbara Boxer and John Kerry, are pushing a more specific withdrawal plan with a July 1, 2007 deadline for withdrawal of most US forces. AP says:

' It would require the administration to withdraw all combat troops from Iraq by July 1, 2007, leaving in place only U.S. troops essential to training Iraqi security forces, conducting counterterrorism operations and protecting U.S. personnel and facilities. "A deadline gives Iraqis the best chance for stability and self-government, and most importantly, it allows us to begin refocusing on the true threats that face our country," Kerry and Feingold, two Democrats eying potential presidential candidacies in 2008, said in a joint statement. '


The old traitor Karl Rove, who revealed the identity of covert CIA operative Valerie Plame to the Iranians (and everyone else), castigated the Democrats' proposals as "cut and run." Rove wants us to go on spending $5 billion a month in Iraq, and to go on losing thousands of maimed young people.

Here are some other examples of cutting and running:

The United States withdrew from the Philippines in 1946.

Britain withdrew from India in 1947.

France withdrew from Morocco and Tunisia in 1956.

France withdrew from Algeria in 1962.

Rove only has two choices. He either has to agree that these withdrawals were a good thing, or he has to blame Britain and France for cutting and running. Does this mean he thinks the US should try to re-colonize the Philippines? Does he want France to take back over Algeria? By the way, neither India nor Algeria was stable when the colonial power withdrew.

Either, Mr. Rove, the US is a Republic among independent nations, or it is a Colonial Power intent on subjecting other peoples. If it is a Republic, it should be leaving Iraq to the Iraqis. If it is a Colonial Power, then it is doomed. Because no instance of successful foreign colonialism on the nineteenth-century model has been implemented in the past 50 years, for the simple reason that the peoples of the global south are socially and politically mobilized-- literate, urban, industrial, skilled, networked-- in a way they never were before in history. And no mobilized people can be successfully occupied.

The US military presence in Iraq is retarding a political settlement. It makes the Shiites and Kurds cocky and unwilling to compromise with the Sunni Arabs. It keeps the Iraqi army weak and ineffective, lacking proper armor or an air force. And US military tactics of search and destroy are turning progressively more Iraqis against us over time. The longer the US stays in Iraq, the more likely it is that one day one of our cities will be attacked by Iraqi terrorists bearing a grudge for Fallujah or Tal Afar or whatever other Iraqi cities we plan to destroy.

And, about that $5 billion a month. I live in the Detroit area. This is what my city looks like:



Could we please have just one of those $5 billion dollar installments you are squandering in Iraq, Mr. Rove, to -- you know-- fix up Detroit a little bit. I'd say those windows need replacing. And since you painted all those schools over there, maybe you wouldn't mind painting some of the buildings in my area. We don't have any oil, but we have a helluva port and enormous industrial capacity. It is just that, you know, the Federal government has been busy rebuilding a foreign country (which somehow still seems to be in flames and run down, despite having its own petroleum). And somehow my city just isn't a priority. In fact, you can correct me if I'm wrong, Mr. Rove, but my recollection is that neglect of Detroit has driven its population below 1 million, and that as a result, the Federal government actually cut back on the aid it gives the city. Is that really good urban policy? Wouldn't it make more sense to bring Detroit back to life and reinvigorate the American Midwest?

Is it cut and run? Or is it 'withdraw and spend American money on Americans'?

And what is the Republican plan? Is it "Stay and stay, and Spend and Spend?"

13 Comments:

At 9:12 AM, Blogger John Koch said...

Only one of the withdrawals you cite bears an ethno-religious dimension comparable to Iraq.

Britain withdrew from India in 1947. The partition of the Hindu and Muslim dominated zones forced the migration of perhaps 14 million and maybe as many as 1 million deaths. Were a similar partition to follow a brusque US departure from Iraq, would history blame this on Rove, too, or ascribe it to internal sovereign affairs?

Of course, the Left and Islamists will blame W and Rove, or generic US imperialism, no matter what. Had there been no 2003 invasion, the L&I would blame the US for Iraqi oppresion, whether it had continued the sanctions or normalized ties to the tyrant Saddam. Damned if you do, damned if you don't.

The outcome of any "regime change," whatever the premise, was unlikely to be pretty or easy. Neither Kerry, Boxer, Murtha, or even JC have a good idea how to disengage and avoid chaos.

Rhetoric aside, Rove is smart enough to see this. US troops will be gone or greatly reduced by 2008, no matter what. However, there is enormous advantage to maintain a steadfast "posture," while letting the Dems mouth defeatist talk that Red America will consider a stab in the back. GOP candidates in 2008 will be even more inclined to play this card if loss of the Senate in 2006 puts policy in the hands of Dems and Iraq fizzles into a Somalia (or a partition-era India) as the US exits.

There is not a dime of difference between a "stay the course [until 2008]" or a "get out now [by 2008]" unless either proponent defines exactly how they intend to achieve Iraqification of the counter-insurgency. I doubt any Sunni dominated international conference would appease any of the Iraqi factions. Can you see Muqtada or Hakim endorsing a power sharing formula backed by Jordan, Egypt, and Saudi?

 
At 9:54 AM, Blogger agoraphobos said...

I think that picture of Detroit is powerful. Really, you could put it in a collection of Iraq city photos and it would fit right in. Sadly, repairing an inner city is just not on their agenda. And let’s face it, a city like Detroit has (at least) two disadvantages in their eyes: it doesn’t sit on oil, and it’s largely African American. I live in Baltimore and, away from the trendier areas like the Harbor and the stadiums, there is a lot of the same decay in the inner city.

I’ve been saying this for years: they accuse Democrats of being “tax and spend,” but I’ve always accused Republicans of being “spend and spend.” If the accusation against Democrats is correct, at least they have income to account for their spending. The Republicans spend and spend and have no way to pay for it. It’s like losing your job and deciding to buy a Corvette and go on a month-long vacation to Hawaii. If Democrats presented a united front like the Republicans have, they’d hammer home this spend and spend mantra.

 
At 9:58 AM, Blogger The Great Salami said...

Great post. Somehow though, I imagine that Heliburton and the like get more of that $6bl than anyone else does. Bu$hco and the Corporate GOP, really have wasted so much in resources that that missing investment will really be felt in the next economic depression. They will regret ousting Saddam over forcing Americans into negative savings for the first time since the Great Depression.

 
At 10:43 AM, Blogger Vigilante said...

Bush-Cheney-Rove have their own Run and Cut Plan, make no mistake about it.

Running out the course of the war until 2008, running through more thousands of lives and billions of dollars.

Cutting out (of office) in 2009, leaving the whole Mess-o-Potania to a Hillary Clinton (the only Democrat likely to want it).

Running in 2012 on the platform of "Who Lost Iraq?".

That's the plan.

 
At 11:20 AM, Blogger CMAR II said...

Yow, Doctor! You are howling today! I'm sure the Detroit city council appreciates you posting a picture of a junky empty lot as representative of their city.

Query: The special prosecutor knows who gave Bob Novak the tip that eventually led him to Valerie Plame (risking her life daily for America in an upscale Virginia suburb). Why do you think he hasn't he indicted that guy?

CMAR II

 
At 11:54 AM, Blogger Dancewater said...

It's not "Stay and stay and spend and spend" or even "stay and stay and borrow and borrow and spend and spend"


It is actually "stay and stay and spend and spend and borrow and borrow and kill and kill and kill and kill and kill and kill and kill and kill and kill.....

If they gave a damn about Iraq, they would note and record all Iraqi deaths - and make it public.


If they ever wanted Iraq to be independent and in charge of their own security (that is "stand up") then they would be building them an air force.

And that last one is never going to happen as long as Bushits are running the show.

 
At 11:59 AM, Blogger Dr. Mathews said...

It kind of reminds me of the reluctance of some people (ie. Republicans like Dick Cheney in particular) to cut their support for and run from the apartheid regime in South Africa!

 
At 12:21 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

'Cut & run," versus "stay and help al Qaeda"?

I'm sure Rove can sell that one. Once again, Bush will answer the terrorists' prayers. It can never be said that the president ignores the needs of people of faith.
.

 
At 12:47 PM, Blogger Julie R Butler said...

This post really gets to the heart of all the problems our nation is facing right now. The republicans in charge are indeed on the SPEND AND SPEND track. But somehow, unbelievably, they are never held to account for all this military and international black operations spending they are engaged in. Condi Rice wants all that money, for what? Propoganda and PR. It's time for Congress to cut off all this insane spending on medling in the affairs of foreign nations (i.e. North American Imperialism), and spend all of that money on fixing our own nation.
Here are some PR ideas - start flooding the internet with pictures like this one of our own cities in decay; drive home the "spend and spend" mantra; and frame the pull-out in terms that our culture can grasp: poker. "You've got to know when to hold em,' and KNOW WHEN TO FOLD EM." Yes, you can't win all the time by BLUFFING - especially when the other players have learned to recognize your little ticks!
Oh - and to CMAR II: check out this article at Truthout.org from Monday, at http://forum.truthout.org/blog/story/2006/6/19/185947/499. Here's the money quote: That leaves the most important question: If our sources maintain that a grand jury has returned an indictment - and we have pointed to a criminal case number that we are told corresponds to it - then how is it possible that Patrick Fitzgerald is reported to have said that 'he does not anticipate seeking charges against Rove at this time?' That is a very troubling question, and the truth is, we do not yet have a definitive answer. We also continue to be very troubled that no one has seen the reported communication from Fitzgerald to Rove's attorney Robert Luskin, and more importantly, how so much public judgment could be based on a communication that Luskin will not put on the table. Before we can assess the glaring contradiction between what our sources say and what Luskin says Fitzgerald faxed to him, we need to be able to consider what was faxed - and in its entirety.
Hmmm - very interesting!

 
At 2:23 PM, Blogger neurofuture said...

Powerful image from Detroit, per haps equally powerful to Iraq's - including a desolate bus and the visage of Al-Muhajer, revealed as an Egyptian...along with a pastoral scene that communicates what the countryside is really like

 
At 7:30 PM, Blogger Ricky said...

Dear Juan,
Thanks very much for your web site. It is helpful to us to know what is going on over in the Middle East.
It is just amazing to me that some people still buy the arguments the Bushies make for "staying the course".
How are we not making plans to get out of Iraq?
Thanks, Professor Cole. GO BIG BLUE!

Ricky From Omaha

 
At 1:34 AM, Blogger Leila Abu-Saba said...

I live in the hyper-prosperous Bay Area, but we have our war zones, too, and some of them are within five miles of my house. A rich friend at a wedding just told me about going to highschool volleyball games in Richmond, CA, near her exclusive hillside enclave. THe neighborhoods were so devastated that she said "how can this be America? How can this be happening here?" When Katrina happened, she and her family felt "now the rest of America sees what it's really like for people." They weren't surprised, they felt that the events of Katrina exposed what they've been seeing in Richmond, CA, so close to the fabulously wealthy hillside neighborhoods of the Berkeley hills.

People are dying in the zip code next to mine. Children are starving. Neighborhoods are filled with gunfire and open air drug dealing. And we're rich here in Northern California. God help Detroit...

Our values in this country are just out of whack. Thank you, Juan, for putting up the picture and asking the tough questions.

 
At 1:59 AM, Blogger sherm said...

There is no bumper sticker solution to the Iraq whirlpool. We're caught in it and will not be able to leave with dignity.

In my view if the democrats want to get the nation back on course some them will have to sacrafice their political careers for the better good. They have to take positions that are clearly based on principle and unyielding to political expediency.

A place to start is to oppose in no uncertain terms military action against Iran and Korea. Bush, Cheney and Rice never really forgo the rhetoric of violent force. They treat the military like an all volunteer chain saw - ready to cut down whatever they choose.

But ambitious politicians like Kerry, Clinton, Obama, and many others will never lay down in front of the tanks.

Feingold will have a hard time sticking to his enlightened views if he chooses to run for president. But he and other like him could make a difference in political outcomes if they put aside their ambitions and fight as hard as they can for what they believe in. Who knows, it may be the path to the Whitehouse.

 

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