Informed Comment

Thoughts on the Middle East, History, and Religion

Juan Cole is President of the Global Americana Institute

Saturday, February 25, 2006

Violence in Baghdad, Samarra
Curfew Partially Observed


There was more violence on Friday in Iraq amid calls by clerical leaders for peace. The daytime curfew called for earlier was widely ignored, especially in East Baghdad or Sadr City, where the Mahdi Army militiamen were out in force, driving around in heavy vehicles.

*Samarra:
Borzou Daragahi of the LA Times reports,

' violence broke out in Samarra, home of the destroyed Shiite shrine. Two police officers were killed and two civilians injured in clashes and a vital oil pipeline set ablaze by saboteurs. '


*Baghdad:

Daragahi adds, 'Iraqi police today found at least 29 bodies scattered in Baghdad. Each corpse was handcuffed and had single gunshots to the head, in the style often attributed to Shiite death squads believed attached to the Ministry of Interior. '

Ed Wong of the NYT reports on the role of the militias in the recent violence in Iraq. The Shiites will certainly now insist on keeping them, after the bombing of the Askariyah shrine, but the Sunni Arabs fear them and are threatening to form their own.

Al-Zaman says that Grand Ayatollah Ali Sistani called for calm on Friday, as did his Sunni Arab counterparts.

The daytime curfew called for Baghdad and some heavily Sunni Arab provinces was only partially effective. There were clashes in several districts of Baghdad, including Al-Sayyidiyah and al-Durah, but no details were forthcoming. Some clashes were said to be between Mahdi Army militiamen and Sunni Arab guerrillas.

Tariq al-Hashimi of the Iraqi Islamic Party said the security situation had improved somewhat, but expressed concern about streams of Shiite pilgrims headed from Karbala to Baghdad and then Samarra'.

Ayatollah Muhammad Ya`qubi, the spiritual leader of the Fadhilah Party, forbade his followers from marching to Samarra as they had originally planed. [The same thing is true of Muqtada al-Sadr.]

I gave an interview to Jim Lobe of Interpress Service in which I raised the possibility that there might now be a hung parliament in Iraq, with no group able to form a government, forcing new elections and further political gridlock. The Sunni Arab party, the National Accord Front, has pulled out of negotiations on the formation of a new government.

The daytime curfew in the central Sunni Arab provinces has been extended another day, through Saturday.

AP points to the way in which the Askariyah Shrine crisis points to the great authority and power of the clergy in contemporary Iraq.

NPR reported that on Wednesday and Thursday, many Iraqi policemen and soldiers either stepped aside for Shiite mobs who attacked Sunni mosques, and that some even joined in the attacks.

It just goes to show how inadequate this report for the Pentagon is. It says that 53 battalions can fight with US help, and that none can do so on their own, and that Sunni attacks have not yet produced sectarian violence. In comedy and in politics, timing is everything.

4 Comments:

At 1:07 PM, Blogger InplainviewMonitor said...

Ipsnews info added to Wiki. Hopefully, it won't get remeved from there.

 
At 1:11 PM, Blogger Michael Murry said...

Propaganda statements issued by the United States Government regarding the American War on Iraq have only one audience: the American electorate. Like the policy of "Vietnamization" (i.e., "Yellowing the Corpses") during the American War on Vietnam, the Orwellian euphemism "Iraqification" (i.e., "Browning the Bodies") means one thing to Americans and another thing to their foreign victims (i.e., the Yellow Corpses and Brown Bodies). The empty talk by the Bush administrattion of "standing up" Iraqis so that Americans can "stand down" only attempts to lull the American electorate into somnolent support of a bankrupt policy: promising, in effect, that the foreign victims will fight and die for American interests so that Americans won't have to fight and die for them. Like Nixon and Kissinger before them, Cheney/Rumsfeld/Bush only want to kick the can of accountability down the road until they can hand off responsibility for the disaster to someone else.

Several years ago the Bush administration called this War on Iraq "accomplished." Now they only call it "long." Another race turned into a journey. Get it?

 
At 4:32 PM, Blogger Bravo 2-1 said...

My (cynical) impression of U.S. training for Iraqi formations has been that our goal is to make battle ready units without the command and control to plan and resupply operations -- guns without the ammo. In this style, the American military could ensure minimal U.S. casualties and stay in the background in 4 or 5 enduring bases.

I think this has been the plan, more or less, all along. In the best case scenario -- which is now absurd -- we'd remain in those bases resupplying, training, equipping and occasionally enhancing Iraqi manned operations.

But, now the situation has rapidly deteriated. The greatest threat has always been sectarian militias and a sectarian government lacking important legitimacy in the opinion of one or several demographics. Unfortunately, quasi-trained troops could be a significant liability if this sectarian nightmare comes into being -- and it appears to be approaching a certainty.

 
At 7:06 PM, Blogger Steve said...

Dr. Cole,
I see that you are quickly becoming the go-to guy for opinions on affairs in Iraq. Hard to believe how things change. It would be interesting to see if they will also be asking for your opinions on Israel/Palestine issues.

 

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